NFL Week 6 Bets

The NFL gods giveth, the NFL gods taketh away. Despite week 5 proving tumultuous, we were able to keep the ship afloat (and even got our best of the best bets moving in the right direction).

Have no fret, DPJ and I are not afraid of some volatility and we’re absolutely licking our chops at what we have to offer this week. So much so in fact that we’re entirely aligned with our thoughts for week 6 and have decided to forego individual best bets altogether.

Take a gander at what we see as easy money and always remember to bet smarter, not harder.

Best of the Best Bets – DPJ & Q approved (2-5 Overall)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Philadelphia Eagles – Thursday, 10/14 (8:20 PM EST)
Pick: Total Points Under 53.5

Tom Brady and his banged up Buccaneers are headed up the eastern seaboard to take on the Eagles in Thursday night football. I think this should be a good game but 53.5 feels way too high, especially with this often anemic looking Eagles offense. The Eagles have proven that they can move the ball but can stall out in the redzone, which is an under betters dream. Their defense is formiddle and Tampa has struggled a bit against solid defenses on the road. Only scoring 17 in New England and 24 in LA against the Rams. There is no denying the points they have racked up at home but I don’t see this being a 40+ point offensive performance from Brady. The Eagles will be hungry to get back to .500 and should hang around all night and most likely cover the +7 spread. The safer bet here in my opinion is the under. – DPJ

LA Chargers @ Baltimore Ravens – Sunday, 10/17 (1:00 PM EST)
Pick: Chargers +3.5

The Ravens might be 4-1, but they could easily be 1-4. Vegas appears to be giving Baltimore the nod in this one due to home field advantage but it just feels like the Ravens have been due to drop another game for weeks now. This game should be chunk play after chunk play for both offenses, with the Ravens run game easily capable of overwhelming a sub par Chargers defense and Justin Herbert set to pick apart a wounded Ravens secondary. The Ravens are coming off an absolute nail biter against the Colts (a game they probably should’ve lost) and Lamar Jackson is having a lot of issues protecting the ball this season (3 interceptions and 3 fumbles lost through the first 5 weeks of the year). The Ravens are also 0-3 against the spread this year as a favorite whereas the Chargers are undefeated against the spread as an underdog. I’m expecting this matchup to be a true “anything you can do, I can do better” type competition between these two elite QBs which could very likely come down to the final possession of the game. When two powerful offenses meet, a powerful run game vs a powerful passing game, I tend to side with the offense that moves the ball better through the air since they usually need less time to score. The Browns (who have a solid defense) put up over 500 total yards, zero turnovers and over 40 points against the Chargers last week…. AND STILL LOST. This Chargers offense is clearly good enough to pull away from any team and I’m expecting that to be the case this weekend in Baltimore. Take Herbert and the electric Chargers offense by more than a field goal this Sunday and expect Lamar’s luck to finally run out. – Q

Kansas City Chiefs @ WFT – Sunday, 10/17 (1:00 PM EST)
Pick: Chiefs -5.5 and Total Points Over 53.5

The Chiefs have a losing record through 5 weeks…that is not something me or any other sane person on planet earth expected coming into the season. But here we are, and quite frankly they can only move up from here. Washington poses a great opportunity for them to get back the basics on defense and find their footing. The Football Team comes in below-league-average in yds per game (24th) and passing yds (21st). Those are two key areas the Chiefs defense have struggled so this will be a soft matchup for them. This game feels like a lock for the Chiefs to cover at least -5.5 and most likely the 53.5 total as well. Let’s also not forget that KC has played easily the hardest schedule in all of football. The Bills, Chargers, Ravens and Browns all in the first 5 weeks is quite a gauntlet. They now get Washington, Tennessee and the New York Giants over the next three weeks so I would expect them to be sitting at 5-3 after week 8 with three straight wins ATS. – DPJ

Las Vegas Raiders @ Denver Broncos – Sunday, 10/17 (4:25 PM EST)
Pick: Total Points Under 46

The Broncos have two forces working in their favor this week against the Raiders, their stingy defense and Jon Gruden. The Broncos defense has been absolutely lethal this season, ranking near the top of every defensive category and only allowing ~15 points per game thus far. The Raiders have fallen off since their surprisingly hot start to the season and are currently dealing with the most notable scandal of the year due to the “resignation” of Jon Gruden. The Raiders have hit the under on both of their away games this year, the Broncos have hit the under on both of their home games and neither team is playing with a lot of moxy currently. The Broncos offense has been proven fraudulent when playing teams with more than 1 win on the season and they’re still waiting on Jerry Jeudy’s recovery after his ankle injury in week 1. The Chargers proved the best way to contain Derek Carr is to get within a couple yards of him in the backfield and he’ll fold up like a lawn chair. I’m sure Von Miller has made numerous guest appearances in Carr’s nightmares leading up to this matchup and I’m fully expecting this Raiders offense to stall early. It’s also important to note that Gruden made sure to offend pretty much every demographic that exists in his recently leaked emails so it’s hard to think many players on this Raiders team are thinking “win this one for the Gipper” this Sunday. Confidently taking the under here, banking on a sub par Broncos offense and an unmotivated/suspect Raiders unit facing an elite Broncos defense. – Q

Seattle Seahawks @ Pittsburgh Steelers – Sunday, 10/17 (8:20 PM EST)
Pick: Total Points Under 48

Two words: Geno Smith. That should be all you need to hear to bet the under in this game but nonetheless I will write some additional words. Yes, Geno looked decent when he took over for Russell Wilson (who’s hand may now look like Booger McFarland’s), but let’s not get ahead of ourselves. Give a talented Steelers defense a week to prepare for Geno and he will look like the same guy who had almost a 2:1 INT:TD ratio back in 2013 as a starter. Geno isn’t some under the radar young QB with no tape on him…he’s proven to stink at football with 31 starts and no more than 1 in a season since 2014. I think the Steelers get out to an early lead and cruise to a low scoring victory. Ben will know he doesn’t need to do a ton to beat this Seahawks team and he’ll use this game to get healthy and walk away with a W. Life is never too short to bet a Geno Smith under. – DPJ

Buffalo Bills @ Tennessee Titans – Monday, 10/18 (8:15 PM EST)
Pick: Bills -3.5 

Definitely scratching my head over this early line. I’m assuming Vegas is expecting a let down away game from the Bills after a massive victory over the powerhouse Chiefs this past week. While I understand that thought process, I think this Bills offense (and Josh Allen specifically) are simply too good not to come out firing on Monday Night Football. Josh Allen is eyeing his first NFL MVP award and I’m sure he doesn’t want to lose any steam on the big stage, regardless of the opponent. The Bills defense is also one of the best in the league in almost every category and I fully expect them to take Derrick Henry out of the equation early. If Henry can’t produce, this Titans offense is terrible. It also doesn’t help that the Titans boast a porous defense that the Bills should be able to expose early and often both on the ground and through the air. Don’t overthink this one, take the Bills with confidence (I’m expecting a Bills victory by a TD+). – Q

Other Action (26-34-3 Overall)

Bucs @ Eagles: Bucs -6.5

Dolphins @ Jags: Jags +4

Dolphins @ Jags: Total Points Over 43.5

Vikings @ Panthers: Panthers +1

Chargers @ Ravens: Total Points Under 52

Rams @ Giants: Rams -9.5

Rams @ Giants: Total Points Under 49.5

Texans @ Colts: Total Points Over 42.5

Packers @ Bears: Packers -4

Packers @ Bears: Total Points Under 46.5

Bengals @ Lions: Lions +3.5

Cardinals @ Browns: Total Points Over 49.5

Cowboys @ Patriots: Total Points Under 52

Raiders @ Broncos: Broncos -2.5

Seahawks @ Steelers: Steelers -3.5

Risky Business (11-15 Overall; currently up 3.9 units)

MEGA PARLAY (+2390 odds): Chargers (+3.5), Bucs/Eagles Total Points Under 53.5, Chiefs/WFT Total Points Over 53.5, Bills (-3.5), Chiefs (-5.5)

3 Team – 6 Point Teaser (+180 odds): Bucs (-0.5), Chiefs (+0.5), Jags (+10)

3 Team – 7 Point Teaser (+120 odds): Chargers (+10.5), Rams (-2.5), Cardinals (+10.5)

3 Team Parlay (+150 odds): Bucs Money Line, Chiefs Money Line, Steelers Money Line

4 Team Parlay (+695 odds): Bucs Money Line, Chargers Money Line, Chiefs Money Line, Lions (+3.5)

Dolphins @ Jaguars: Jaguars Money Line (+170 odds)

Cardinals @ Browns: Cardinals -6.5 (+260 odds)

Chargers @ Ravens: Chargers -5.5 (+250 odds)

Disclaimer: is not an online gambling operator or a gambling site of any kind. Our insights about sports/sports betting are purely for entertainment purposes only.

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