CFB Week 5 Bets

Another week, another solid showing from DPJ and Q. At this rate, we’re moving to Vegas sooner rather than later. 

Check out our favorite bets of week 5 and always remember to bet smarter, not harder.

Q’s Best Bets (3-7 overall)
Ole Miss @ Alabama – Saturday, 10/2 (3:30 PM EST)
Pick: Total Points Under 80

While I fully expect this game to be a shootout between two QBs fighting to make their case for a Heisman trophy, 80 points is simply too high not to take the under for pretty much any matchup. Ole Miss has looked solid so far this season but they also haven’t played a ranked opponent yet and it’s definitely not ideal to have to open up conference play in a hostile environment like Tuscaloosa. There’s also the fact that both of these head coaches know each other extremely well which poses the risk of stifled offensive production on both sides throughout the game. Saban definitely would love nothing better than to make a defensive statement against his former offensive coordinator and I’m sure the Tide defense will be ready to go from the jump. I’m siding with the statistics in this one and assuming that one of numerous variables throughout the game will keep this total below 80.

Indiana @ Penn State – Saturday, 10/2 (7:30 PM EST)
Pick: Penn State -9.5

This is a Nittany Lions squad determined to ensure James Franklin’s job security. The preseason hot seat murmurs have been silenced so far as this Penn State team has positioned themselves to truly compete for a Big 10 championship for the first time in years. Penn State’s defense has been lethal this season and QB Sean Clifford looks super comfortable leading this offense full of WR talent. Indiana played awful against the only two ranked opponents they’ve faced this year, almost lost to Western KY last week and will be facing a Penn State team in Happy Valley looking to avenge a devastating overtime loss to Indiana last year. I’m expecting Penn State’s defense to keep Indiana’s offense in check throughout the game and pull away early in the second half. Expect Happy Valley to be popping and Penix Jr. to have a frustrating night.

Western KY @ Michigan State – Saturday, 10/2 (7:30 PM EST)
Pick: Michigan State -9.5

This Michigan State team has to be one of the most underrated teams in the country. They currently boast one of the best RBs in the country in Kenneth Walker, one of the best WRs in the country in Jayden Reed and one of the best QBs in the Big 10 in Payton Thorne. This balanced offense can hurt you in numerous different ways and it’s also worth mentioning that the Spartans defense has been a turnover machine so far this season (16 sacks, 4 interceptions, 3 fumble recoveries). I’m expecting Walker to bounce back in a big way this week against a porous Western KY run defense and Payton Thorne to eclipse 1,000 pass yards on the season. Rolling with the Spartans again until the Vegas lines catch up to their potential.

DPJ’s Best Bets (3-4-1 overall) (1-0 Week 4)
Washington @ Oregon State – Saturday, 10/2 (9:00 PM EST)
Pick: Total Points Over 55

The Huskies head down Interstate 5 to face the Beavers in Corvallis for what should be a high scoring affair. Washington came into the season with a #20 preseason ranking and promptly got embarrassed by Montana (!!!) 13-7 and then got spanked at Michigan 31-10. Since then they seem to have found their footing with a 52-3 shelacking of Arkansas State and an OT win over Cal last week 31-24. I certainly don’t think they’re any good but I do think their offense has figured things out enough to cover this total. The Beavers have looked pretty solid with a 3 TD win at USC last week. They surprisingly are the 26th highest scoring team in the FBS and I don’t see them slowing down at home against Washington. Points….Points….Points.

Cincinnati @ Notre Dame – Saturday, 10/2 (2:30 PM EST)
Pick: Total Points Over 50

It feels like I’ve had either a best bet or some sort of wager on ND in every game this year. And I will be the first to tell you that it has not been any fun. I will take a different course of action this week and ride the over in what should be a massive game for both teams. The Bearcats have looked solid but don’t have much of a resume for a #7 team playing in the AAC. Plus they allowed Indiana to score 24 points in the first three quarters in Bloomington. I don’t feel the need to write any more words about the Irish other than their offense is clearly real and their defense is (usually) fraudulent. This should end up being a high scoring affair and lets hope the Irish lose because their schedule gets a lot easier from here and no one wants to see them in the CFP.

Best of the Best Bets – DPJ & Q approved (2-6 Overall)
Auburn @ LSU – Saturday, 10/2 (9:00 PM EST)
Pick: LSU -2.5

When Penn State knocked off Auburn a couple weeks back, in a whiteout game in Happy Valley, we probably all thought it would be a resume building win for the PSU. Fast forward a few weeks, and now it seems like that win could be meaningless come the end of the season. Auburn squeaked out a 34-24 win over Georgia State after scoring 22 unanswered in the second half last week. A game they were favored by 27 points in. Their other two wins earlier this year were Akron and Alabama State. Is Auburn actually good? I don’t think so. Are they good enough to march into Death Valley and beat the Tigers under the Saturday night lights? I sure as hell don’t think so. This should be a great game for LSU to get back on track, they have survived the shit-storm aftermath of Hurricane Irma, and Coach O will have them fired up for a big win. Go Tigers. – DPJ

Other Action (3-3 Overall)

Cincinnati @ Notre Dame: Notre Dame +3.5

Arkansas @ Georgia: Arkansas +19.5 

Ole Miss @ Alabama: Ole Miss +17.5

2 Team – 6 Point Teaser (-120 odds): Michigan State (-3.5), Penn State (-3.5)

Risky Business (0-4 Overall)

3 Team – 6 Point Teaser (+180 odds): LSU (+3.5), Coastal Carolina (-27.5), Texas A&M (-0.5)

3 Team – 7 Point Teaser (+130 odds): BYU (-0.5), Fresno State (-3.5), Baylor (+10.5)

Disclaimer: is not an online gambling operator or a gambling site of any kind. Our insights about sports/sports betting are purely for entertainment purposes only.

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