CFB Week 3 Bets

Well, definitely glad I’m writing the CFB article this week vs covering the atrocity that was NFL Week 1… 

Sports betting on football at any level isn’t for the faint of heart but college football seems to enjoy reminding us of this concept every chance it gets. Fret not, it’s a hedge heavy parlay party over at SHB for CFB Week 3 and we’re excited to take advantage of some of the overreactions Vegas is throwing our way. Stay the course, keep striving for those “base hits” over “home runs” and always remember to bet smarter, not harder.

Q’s Best Bets (After Week 2: 2-3 Overall, -0.76 Units Total)

Oklahoma @ Nebraska/Fresno State @ USC (SoCal)
Pick: 2 Team Parlay: Oklahoma -6.5, USC -6.5 (+115) (1 unit)

Scott Frost is $15 million richer purely because the Cornhuskers couldn’t wait until October to fire him (his buyout would have been reduced by half on Oct. 1). While I think that’s an absolutely absurd decision by a team that stood virtually no chance of contending for a national championship this year, we can’t ignore the volume of that decision. Nebraska thought Frost was such a poison to their program that they literally put a price tag of ~$7.5 million on allowing him to continue to coach Nebraska for literally ~3 more WEEKS… Oh, and he’s been the head coach at Nebraska since 2018. So let’s do the math here… Frost has led Nebraska for over 4 years now (easily long enough to embed his schemes/recruits into a program for a considerable period of time), Nebraska is 1-2 to start the year despite playing zero ranked opponents thus far and Brent Venables finally brings a defensive mindset to the state of Oklahoma. I feel like I’m being generous to Nebraska with this point differential and I expect Oklahoma to win by multiple scores given how well Gabriel has fit into the offense from the jump. That said, waiting for the hiccups to come sooner rather than later with this Oklahoma team and Nebraska TRULY has nothing to lose so only going to throw the Sooners into a teaser’esque type parlay this week. Score Prediction: Oklahoma 38 – Nebraska 24

I was super skeptical of Southern Cal’s ability to go from a 4 win team last year to a true contender to win it all in 2022. I’m still incredibly skeptical of that concept. That said, USC is still loaded with talent, Lincoln Riley seems to have hit the ground running and Caleb Williams is already putting up Heisman numbers through the first two weeks. Expect USC to roll at home. Score Prediction: USC 41 – Fresno State 31

BYU @ Oregon/Michigan State @ Washington
Pick: 2 Team Parlay: BYU +10.5, Michigan State +10.5 (+100) (1 unit)

Ok yes… I’ve caught the teaser/parlay bug (pretty sure I was born with it). That said, there’s a solid chance for both of these teams to win outright so throwing +10.5 points on each feel like an absolute

We’ll start with BYU. Are BYU’s WRs banged up a bit right now? Yes. Did they still pull out another massive victory against Baylor at home? Yes indeed. Oregon is in absolute panic mode right now and I think these two teams are about even so throwing BYU into a teaser like parlay at +10.5 to be safe feels like a steal. Score Prediction: BYU 28 – Oregon 27

Man the Spartans never get any love from Vegas no matter the season… While I don’t think Michigan State is as good as they were last year (two words… Kenneth, Walker), Payton Thorne has looked solid through the first two games and I’m not sold on UW yet whatsoever. I think this is another game that’s closer to a PK vs the 3 points Vegas is spotting MSU so I’m taking a similar approach to the BYU/Oregon game and throwing the Spartans into a parlay allowing them to lose by less than 10.5. Go Sparty. Score Prediction: MSU 27 – Washington 24.

DPJ’s Best Bets (After Week 2: 3-3 Overall, -0.35 Units Total)

Oklahoma @ Nebraska – Saturday, 9/17 (12:00 PM EST)
Pick: Oklahoma -11 (-110) (1 unit)

Oklahoma heads north up the Great Plains to take on the recently deFROSTed Nebraska Cornhuskers. I was high on this Oklahoma team coming into the season, and they haven’t played a power five opponent yet so I’m looking at this game to be their coming out party for 2022. The defense should get its first ‘test’, although the Cornhuskers have looked like a D3 school at times this year. They’ve allowed 31 PPG vs Georgia Southern, North Dakota, and Northwestern. Woof. The Sooners might score 100. There’s always a kernel of risk betting against a team who just fired their coach, as that can either lead to total deflation or galvination. I think even if that move galvanizes the Huskers they are still going to struggle immensely and they’ll end up losing by at least two scores. Maybe the first half is close, but Oklahoma will pull away. Score Prediction: Oklahoma 41 – Nebraska 24

BYU @ Oregon – Saturday, 9/17 (3:30 PM EST)
Pick: Total Points Over 56 (-110) (1 unit)

This should be one of the most fun games of the weekend and I’m betting on some fireworks to get this total over 56 points. BYU was slowed by a tough Baylor defense in week 2 and I expect them to rebound in week 3 with the offense finding its footing. QB Jaren Hall can continue to make his case to be drafted at the top of the NFL draft next spring if he can put together another strong performance against the Ducks. He stands behind another top prospect, Left Tackle Blake Freeland who should be opening up the run game and protecting Hall’s blind side all game. The Ducks were embarrassed by UGA in week 1 but found their footing in a soft one at home against Eastern Washington last Saturday. 56 feels very attainable here, and if things break right we could see this total reached by the end of Q3. Score Prediction: BYU 35 – Oregon 28

Texas Tech @ NC State – Saturday, 9/17 (7:00 PM EST)
Pick: Texas Tech +10.5 (-110) (1 unit)

The Red Raiders got their first top-25 W for coach Joey McGuire last week over Houston and now they get the treat of heading to Raleigh for a matchup with the #16 ranked Wolfpack. Tech has moved the ball up and down the field in both their game this year and I’d like to see that continue this week. It’s only been two games but they’re 5th in the country in passing yards per game, 9th in total yards and 5th in points. NC State does not come close by any metric and they haven’t played a worthy opponent yet (ECU and Charleston Southern were their two wins). Tech’s defense is no powerhouse but they seem to be able to stop the run, which the Wolfpack will try to establish early in the game. The total in this one is only 56 which is mighty low by Red Raider standards. I love Texas Tech getting 10.5 points in this one as it should be a close game at the least, and I even like Tech to win outright. We’re gonna sit on that +10.5 and keep our risk in check. Score Prediction: NC State 27 – Texas Tech 24

Disclaimer: is not an online gambling operator or a gambling site of any kind. Our insights about sports/sports betting are purely for entertainment purposes only.

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