No one ever said NFL betting was for the lighthearted… That said, we’re absolutely CRUSHING our risky business bets this year. We’re up 9.5 units since the start of the season and DPJ and I are a combined 21-16 (~57%) on our best bets.
Keep on keepin’ on, pray your franchise doesn’t make a stupid trade and always remember to bet smarter, not harder.
Q’s Best Bets (9-7 Overall)
New England Patriots @ LA Chargers – Sunday, 10/31 (4:05 PM EST)
Pick: Chargers -5.5
I’ve had this one marked on my calendar since the Chargers got manhandled by the Ravens 34-6 in Week 6. The Patriots may have showed up against the Jets last week, but come on… The fact that the Chargers aren’t favored by at least a TD in this one is a massive overreaction both ways by Vegas. The Chargers are a great team and simply had a down game against a Ravens team that was playing out of its mind at the time. The Patriots, on the other hand, beat the lowly Jets who had to play most of the game with Mike White after Zach Wilson went down with a knee injury. I’ve literally never heard of Mike White in my entire life. While I don’t expect the Chargers’ home field advantage to play a huge factor in this game (considering they have virtually no fans), I do expect their Week 7 bye to weigh heavily in their favor and for Herbert and this electric offense to come out firing early. Don’t get suckered into thinking the Patriots are a good team simply because they put up 54 points against arguably the worst team in the league. The Chargers should get things back on track Sunday and I’m expecting a multiple score victory.
Dallas Cowboys @ Minnesota Vikings – Sunday, 10/31 (8:20 PM EST)
Pick: Cowboys -1 and Total Points Over 50.5
Here’s a two for one special for you. Both of these teams are a little banged up but both are coming off much needed bye weeks that should bring them back to form. As of today it’s unclear as to whether or not Dak will make the start on Sunday but, assuming he does, this matchup has all the makings of a shootout. These two teams on average combine for over 58 points per game, both tout highly dynamic offenses that can move the ball effectively on the ground and through the air and both defenses have shown an ability to score on takeaways (4 defensive TDs combined between the two). It feels like 50.5 should be pretty easy to cover between the two, especially in prime time Sunday night coming off byes. In regards to the spread… I think Vegas is falling into the trap I’ve been trying to avoid myself as of late… “When will the Cowboys pull a, well, Cowboys? They have to be overrated right?? Any week now they’ll be exposed and they can go back to being my favorite team to short in the league again…” Yeah, no. Unfortunately it feels like the Cowboys are the real deal this year and I don’t see their run at a title getting tripped up by a Vikings team led by a veteran QB who has made a career of losing prime time games in glorious ways. The Vikings defense is good, but not great. I think eventually the Cowboys run game will overwhelm them or at the very least open things up in the pass game for Ceedee Lamb, Amari Cooper and Dalton Schultz. I like the Vikings to keep in close early at home but to ultimately be bested by an offense that’s been putting the league on notice all season. Not going to call them “America’s Team”, but I am going to take Dallas with confidence Sunday night.
DPJ’s Best Bets (12-9 Overall) (2-0 Week 7)
Philadelphia Eagles @ Detroit Lions – Sunday, 10/31 (1:00 PM EST)
Pick: Lions +3.5
The Lions seemingly threw the kitchen sink at the Rams last week. With a sneaky onside kick and multiple fake punts they pulled out all the stops trying to earn their first victory. Quite frankly I think they should have saved some of that trickery for this Eagles game but I think they can beat Philly nonetheless. The Lions are the hungriest dog these eyes have ever seen and I think it truly comes from the top with Dan Campbell. Dan had the fun of going 0-16 as a player on the Lions in ‘08 and he appears ready to do whatever it takes to avoid that as a coach. Meanwhile, Nick Sirianni can barely put a sentence together in press conferences and his Eagles were embarrassed again last week in Vegas. The Ben Simmons noise has quieted down in Philly and it appears the inexperienced first year head coach is finally feeling the heat. The Lions should grind this one down with their defense, D’Andre Swift and Jamaal Williams will combine for 150+ yards and Jared Goff will throw the game winning TD. Let’s get these fellas from Detroit a W (or at least cover the 3.5).
Tennessee Titans @ Indianapolis Colts – Sunday, 10/31 (1:00 PM EST)
Pick: Colts +1
Let’s paint the picture for both teams…Titans are going on the road, coming off their two biggest wins of the year with back to back Ws at home against KC and BUF. Indy returns to their (probably indoor) home stadium after grinding out a rain soaked hurricane style victory in SF last Sunday. Add to that the Colts are still just 3-4 and know this will be a crucial game for them as they try to mount a comeback in the AFC South. Most importantly Carson Wentz is starting to find his old magic and the Colts are firing on all cylinders on both sides of the ball. Without a choke job against the Ravens on MNF in week 5 they would be sitting at 4-3 riding a 4 game winning streak. I love the Colts in this one…I’m not even going to dig up any stats they just have to win this game. Indy by a TD+.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ New Orleans Saints – Sunday, 10/31 (4:25 PM EST)
Pick: Saints +5
Tampa has marched their way to 6-1 without much of a problem on either side of the ball. Take a look at their schedule and you’ll see why…they’ve played two teams with winning records (one of which they lost to, LAR) and the other five are a combined 12-22. That has to be one of the softest schedules in the league and now they get a real test in the 4-2 New Orleans Saints. It never looks pretty with the Jameis and the Saints, they’ve also played a relatively easy schedule, but the defense continues to show up week after week. They are now 3rd in points allowed (17 per game) and 2nd against the run (80 yds per game). The Bucs don’t like to run the ball much but if NoLa can shut it down completely and dial in on Brady that should bode well for either an upset victory or a home dog cover. Tampa’s defense is vulnerable against the pass and Sean Payton will scheme up ways to get Kamara 1-on-1 in open space. I like the Saints to keep this one within a score so long as Jameis can keep his turnovers down (gulp).
Best of the Best Bets – DPJ & Q approved (5-10 Overall)
Cincinnati Bengals @ NY Jets – Sunday, 10/31 (1:00 PM EST)
Pick: Bengals -9.5
This is a pretty simple take so I’ll keep it short. Mike White, Joe Burrow, Ja’Marr Chase. Those three names make up the hottest QB/WR connection in the league right now and a guy who is probably just happy not to be selling insurance at the moment… The Bengals are no longer just a “feisty” team anymore. After laying an absolute beat down on the Ravens last week they are now full on contenders in the AFC. I mean it makes sense right? The timing is a little quicker than anticipated but the leader of arguably the best offense in college football history finding his footing in the league (armed with one of his most dangerous weapons from said college offense) has always only felt like a matter of time. Burrow and this Bengals offense have finally ripped the bandaid and will face probably the worst team in the league on Sunday against the Jets. The Bengals defense has been suspect at times this year but they did a great job containing Lamar and the Ravens last week and, let’s be honest, Alabama could probably give this Jets team a run for their money right now. If you hear any Bengals fans say “Who Dey?” this weekend, they’re simply inquiring as to who is under center for the Jets. Again, I’ve literally never heard of Mike White in my entire life. Expecting a slaughter, expecting Burrow to keep this train rolling. Bengals by 14+. – Q
Other Action (41-45-4 Overall)
Packers @ Cardinals: Cardinals -3.5
Panthers @ Falcons: Total Points Under 48
Rams @ Texans: Rams -13.5
Bengals @ Jets: Total Points Under 46.5
Eagles @ Lions: Total Points Under 49.5
49ers @ Bears: 49ers -3
Jags @ Seahawks: Jags +4
Jags @ Seahawks: Total Points Under 44.5
Patriots @ Chargers: Total Points Over 47
WFT @ Broncos: Total Points Under 44
Giants @ Chiefs: Chiefs -10
Risky Business (17-20 Overall; currently up 9.5 units)
3 Team – 6 Point Teaser (+180 odds): Chargers (+0.5), 49ers (+3), Cowboys (+4.5)
3 Team – 7 Point Teaser (+120 odds): Bills (-6.5), Rams (-6.5), Bengals (-2.5)
3 Team – 7 Point Teaser (+120 odds): Lions (+10.5), Chiefs (-3), Steelers (+10.5)
4 Team Parlay (+200 odds): Bills Money Line, Chargers Money Line, Rams Money Line, Cowboys Money Line
Eagles @ Lions: Lions Money Line (+160 odds)
Cowboys @ Vikings: Cowboys -6 (+150 odds)
Disclaimer: SidehustlebetsMJQ.com is not an online gambling operator or a gambling site of any kind. Our insights about sports/sports betting are purely for entertainment purposes only.