The boys are both cruising right now, with a 28-16-1 record on the year between us and nearly 10 total units won. Q still holds the high water mark for a week with +3.16 units in week 5, but DPJ is not far behind him with a +2.55 unit day last Saturday in week 6. We’re nearing the halfway point in this CFB season and it’s time to buckle up and continue to stack units. There are some great matchups this week (notably USC @ ND, and Oregon @ Wash) but per usual we have action spread all around the day. Let’s have some fun. Bet smarter, not harder.
DPJ’s Best Bets (After Week 6: 16-9-1, +5.11 Units)
Oregon @ Washington – Saturday 10/14 (3:30 PM PST)
Pick: Washington -3 (-105) (1 unit)
I’ve decided I’m going to be riding the PAC 12 teams at home for most of these great matchups we’re going to see down the stretch between ranked teams in the conference. I made the mistake of picking against UCLA at home last week, so it’s time to adjust my strategy. This is arguably the best game of the weekend and one of my favorite rivalries to see each year regardless of team records. For anyone who has yet to experience the “sailgating” up in Seattle at UW, it’s one of the coolest atmospheres in sports. This is a juicy early 12:30 PM kick on the west coast and both teams come into this game with their eyes locked in on a playoff spot. I love what Bo Nix has shown this year, but I love Michael Penix even more. Washington is putting up an electrifying 446 passing yards per game, good for #1 in the country. Defense has been a question mark for the Huskies in spots this year but I think the home crowd leads them to victory here, and they will do enough to cover the 3 points. Score Prediction: Washington 38 – Oregon 31.
UCLA @ Oregon State – Saturday 10/14 (8:00 PM PST)
Pick: Oregon State -3.5 (-110) (1 unit)
The PAC12 continues to deliver as we have another awesome matchup in the evening with the Bruins heading up north to take on the Beavers. Fall is in the air, and it will be wet, and I think that favors the Beavers who are running at a healthy clip of 205 yards per game (30th in the country). Similar to my previous pick, I’m rolling with the PAC12 team at home in a matchup between two more teams that could be vying for the PAC12 championship and a shot at the playoff come December. UCLA looked awfully impressive last week at home against Wazzu but it’s tough to play two good teams back to back and I could see them taking their foot off the gas a little bit. Reser Stadium will be getting louder and louder as the sun goes down and I think Oregon State pulls this one out in the 4th Q. Score Prediction: Oregon State 30 – UCLA 24.
Indiana @ Michigan – Saturday 10/14 (11:00 AM PST)
Pick: Michigan -33 (-110) (1 unit)
The Michigan Wolverines are in freight train mode right now and I need a piece of the action before it slows down. Something mindboggling about this Michigan defense, they have yet to take a defensive snap inside their own 10 yard line. They are dominant stopping the run, stopping the pass, and have given up less than 7 points per game. Yes they have played absolutely nobody this year, but guess what…Indiana stinks no less than the other scrubs on Michigan’s schedule. The Indiana Hoosiers look like a MAC school this year, as their offense is 181st in total yards and their defense is 142nd in yards allowed. These two teams are moving in opposite directions, and even though this spread is massive, I bet Michigan covers with ease. Sore Prediction: Michigan 42 – Indiana 3.
Wyoming @ Airforce – Saturday 10/14 (7:00 PM PST)
Pick: Airforce -10.5 (-110) (.5 unit)
Pick: Total points over 41.5 (-110) (.5 unit)
I picked up a unit on Wyoming last week as they won outright against Fresno State at home (shout out to my Laramie, WY fun fact fans). But I’m flipping on them in week 7 and I’m taking Airforce and the over for a half unit each. Airforce is so good at running the ball it is laugh out loud funny. They are averaging 330 yards on the ground each game as they are quite literally steam rolling teams. Wyoming has a fairly soft run defense as they give up 141 yards per game, good for 127th in the country. I could see Airforce opening up a sizable lead in this one and a couple late-game Cowboys TDs should easily get us over 41.5 points. Gotta support our troops here at home in Colorado Springs. Score Prediction: Airforce 28 – Wyoming 17.
Iowa @ Wisconsin – Saturday 10/14 (4:00 PM PST)
Pick: Iowa +10 (-110) (1 unit)
If you like defense, punting, and awful football…this is the game for you. Anytime you have a CFB total under 35 points you have to assume the BIG10 is involved, likely Iowa or Wisconsin, and maybe both. That is exactly what we have here in what should be another stinker of a game, which is annual tradition at this point. Iowa might have the worst offense of any power 5 team in the country but I think they’ll be fired up enough for this game to hang in there with the Badgers. The Hawkeyes defense and special teams are rock solid, so some winning plays in those phases of the game should have them squarely in contention. I will absolutely not have this game on the big screen, but I look forward to seeing a final score with both teams barely cracking double digits. Score Prediction: Iowa 12 – Wisconsin 19.
Q’s Best Bets (After Week 6: 12-7, +4.055 units)
Auburn @ LSU/San Diego St. @ Hawaii
Pick: 2 Leg Parlay: Auburn +17.5/Hawaii +14.5 (-107) (1 unit)
Combo of an underrated team facing a team with nothing to play for + a terrible team forced to fly to Hawaii to play a team of equal caliber.
Auburn has a significant advantage in the run game in this one, they’re coming off a bye week in which they lost a nail biter to the #1 team in the country the week prior and they never had realistic eyes on the CFP contrary to their opponents. I fully expect Brian Kelly and this entire LSU squad to give up on a unified max effort here and easily allow the other Tigers to cover 17.5, if not worse. Score Prediction: LSU 33 – Auburn 30.
I truly contemplated taking the Rainbow Warriors to win this one outright, but they’ve broken my heart in the past and neither squad falls into the “good” category. Instead I’m opting to throw them into the back leg of this parlay to cover a loss of 2 TDs at the most at home (at home means Hawaii here…. just to be clear). Hawaii’s passing attack should have a decent advantage over this Aztecs secondary and Hawaii’s defense should be able to contain San Diego State’s offense on the ground/through the air. I’m honestly confused why Hawaii is a 6 point dog in this matchup…. Don’t let Hawaii’s record confuse you, they could (and probably should) win this game outright Saturday. Score Prediction: Hawaii 27 – San Diego State 24.
NC State @ Duke – Saturday, 10/14 (8:00 PM EST)
Pick: Duke -3 (-110) (1 unit)
This Duke team is coming off of its first loss of the season and they had the advantage of a bye week in Week 6 to get healthy. NC State is outmatched on both sides of the ball and they’ve lost to the only two good teams they’ve played all season. It’s wild that we can still “buy low” on a Duke team that’s only dropped one game to an elite Notre Dame team (that they probably should’ve beaten) vs an NC State team that’s average at best (by ACC standards). HAMMERING Duke this week to cover a FG at home post bye week. Score Prediction: Duke 31 – NC State 20.
Boise State @ Colorado State – Saturday, 10/14 (9:45 PM EST)
Pick: Total Points Over 60.5 (-109) (1 unit)
Long story short, both offenses have massive advantages in this game. Colorado State’s passing attack should pick apart this Boise State secondary and Boise State should be able to pick its poison offensively (advantages in both the pass and run attack compared to Colorado State’s subpar defense). This game has the makings of a shootout, especially considering Colorado State chose this matchup to be its homecoming game and they’re desperate for a win right now after starting 2-3 (lost 24-44 at Utah State last week). Points, points, points. Score Prediction: Boise State 35 – Colorado State 34.
UNLV @ Nevada – Saturday, 10/14 (5:00 PM EST)
Pick: Total Points Over 53.5 (-109) (1 unit)
One of my favorite over spots of the week. Nevada/UNLV is an easy rivalry to overlook, but a rivalry nonetheless. UNLV and Nevada are the only two state schools in Nevada…. This game means a lot. Yes, UNLV outmatches Nevada in almost every facet of the game (not every facet though, to be covered shortly). UNLV is a wagon right now and they should have no issues moving the ball against this Nevada squad regardless of where this game is being played (especially on the ground). That said, Nevada’s offense actually has a slight advantage through the air against a UNLV secondary that has holes. Banking on UNLV’s solid offense and Nevada’s home field advantage/desire to keep this matchup an actual rivalry to produce points Saturday night. Score Prediction: UNLV 36 – Nevada 26.
Disclaimer: SidehustlebetsMJQ.com is not an online gambling operator or a gambling site of any kind. Our insights about sports/sports betting are purely for entertainment purposes only.
