NFL Week 6 Bets

Decent week for the boys in Week 5, combining to go 4-3-1 for +0.82 units moving our season record to 25-19-1 for a total of +6.285 units. Handful of no brainer spots on this week’s slate combined with some juicy revenge angles. Money train keeps rollin. Always bet smarter, not harder.

Q’s Best Bets (After Week 5: 15-9, +7.155 units)

Indianapolis Colts @ Jacksonville Jaguars – Sunday, 10/15 (1:00 PM EST)
Pick: Colts +3.5 (+105) (1 unit)

One of my favorite spots of the week. The Jags’ London advantage over the past two weeks becomes a disadvantage in Week 6 as they have to return from playing across the pond and face off with a Colts team that’s starting to trend in the right direction. Not only will the Jags have to fend off jet lag in this matchup (fading teams returning from London has been wildly profitable over the past few years), they’ll have to deal with an improving Colts run game (Jonathan Taylor returned to action last week) as well as a menacing Gardner Minshew sure to take a revenge game angle on his former squad now that Anthony Richardson will be missing more time. The Jags were able to upset Buffalo in London last week but people are underestimating how banged up the Bills are right now as well as how much of an advantage it really is to play two weeks in London back to back. Fact of the matter is the Jags barely limped across the finish line in that game and their wide receivers still drop the most passes in professional football. I honestly think the Colts win this game outright so taking their alternate spread of +3.5 to be safe (current main line sitting around +4/+4.5). Score Prediction: Colts 23 – Jaguars 20.

Carolina Panthers @ Miami Dolphins/NY Giants @ Buffalo Bills
Pick: 2 Leg Parlay: Dolphins -6.5/Bills -6.5 (-116) (1 unit)

It hurts to keep fading my Panthers like this, but money is money. The Dolphins run defense should be able to shut down Miles Sanders/Chuba Hubbard meaning that the Panthers will be forced to rely on Bryce Young’s arm to get the job done in Miami on Sunday. Meaning that the Panthers will struggle heavily to move the ball whatsoever (no offense, Bryce). The Dolphins passing attack is easily one of the best units in the league and the Panthers secondary should be in for a long day. Throwing this game into a teaser parlay since it feels like Miami could sleep walkthrough this game and I want to avoid a potential backdoor cover. Score Prediction: Dolphins 31 – Panthers 17.

I know what you’re thinking… “if you love fading teams returning from London so much, why are you backing the Bills this week…?”. Fair point. That said, the Bills just flew all the way to London to get smoked by an inferior team and now they get the opportunity to take out some aggression on by far the worst team in the league at home. Josh Allen and the Bills are the definition of a bounce back squad and this Giants team is very very bad. Not only is Saquon still questionable coming into this game (with a pretty nasty ankle sprain), now Daniel Jones is nursing a neck injury as well and might be at risk of missing some time. Honestly if Daniel Jones were to miss time that could end up being an “addition by subtraction” type scenario for NY. Buffalo’s offense should have significant advantages in both the run and pass game so expect a long day for the Giants defense. Even if Buffalo is a bit fatigued after their travel last week… an 85% Bills squad still covers -6.5 in this matchup. Score Prediction: Bills 24 – Giants 13.

Philadelphia Eagles @ NY Jets – Sunday, 10/15 (4:25 PM EST)
Pick: Eagles -6.5 (-110) (1 unit)

I simply don’t understand why the Jets are getting so much love right now. Zach Wilson becomes somewhat serviceable and all of the sudden they’re only TD dogs against one of the best teams in the league? Ridiculous. The Jets beat the Broncos people… Their offense is entirely dependent on their run game which should be completely shut down by the Eagles lock down run defense (surrendering the fewest rushing yards to opposing offenses per game in the NFL). Put the game in Zach Wilson’s hands against this Eagles secondary and we should see his expectations nosedive back to Earth. The Eagles’ WR group can match up with the Jets’ secondary and when you can run the ball like Philly can…. pretty much a pick your poison scenario for any opposing defense they face all season. Going to take my chances on a Super Bowl favorite in this one vs the Jets. Can’t believe I actually had to write that sentence… Score Prediction: Eagles 27 – Jets 17.

DPJ’s Best Bets (After Week 5: 10-10-1, -0.87 units)

NY Giants @ Buffalo Bills – Sunday, 10/15 (8:20 PM EST)
Pick: Over 44.5 points (-110) (1 unit)

The G Men head north on Sunday to take on the Bills in Buffalo for Sunday Night Football. Here’s a little geography fun fact for you (I know you all read my picks for geography facts): the fastest route by car from NYC to Buffalo has you cross through both New Jersey and Pennsylvania. Isn’t that funky? New York is an oddly shaped state, but I digress. I was personally hosed last week as I picked the Bills to beat the Jags (like a dummy) on their home turf in London (sorry Jacksonville). I’m now tempted to take the Bills -14.5 in what should be a statement bounce-back game, but I’m gonna take the over instead . The Giants look defeated, but the Bills defense is pretty banged up, so I could see them moving the ball with at least a little bit of success. The Bills will have no problem scoring as the Giants let just about anyone hang 30 points on them. Score Prediction: Bills 38 – Giants 17. 

San Francisco 49ers @ Cleveland Browns – Sunday, 10/15 (1:00 PM EST)
Pick: 49ers 1H -4.5 (-110) (.5u)

Pick: 49ers -8.5 (-105) (.5u)

Pick: Browns team total under 13.5 (-108) (.5u)

I couldn’t decide if I wanted to bet the 49ers full game or half time spread, so we’re gonna split ‘em up and take both. And we’re throwing the Browns team total under in there as well. Deshaun Watson is trending towards being out another week with his shoulder injury, but even if he plays, I don’t really care. The Browns team total sits at 13.5 points and I will be shocked if they crack double digits. They are going to be absolutely anemic on offense (just like the Baltimore game) and the 49ers look like they are having a delightful time beating teams like a drum. If Dorian Thompson-Robinson starts again, or even PJ Walker, they might score zero points. I don’t care how good the Browns defense is…they will give up after DTR throws his 4th pick in the first half. The full game total in this one is so low I almost want to take it just for fun, but I’ll avoid that in case McCaffery scores 38 points on his own. We’re going heavy on SF in this one, and if all goes as planned we’ll come out with more than a full unit. Score Prediction: 49ers 27 – Browns 3.

Arizona Cardinals @ Los Angeles Rams – Sunday, 10/15 (4:25PM EST)
Pick: Rams -7 (-105) (1 unit)

I’m of the opinion that the Rams are a good ‘bad’ team. They were tied at halftime against the 49ers before eventually losing by 7, they were down 3 to the Eagles at halftime before eventually losing by 9, and they were tied with Cincy at halftime before eventually losing by 3. They have made it through the toughest part of their schedule at 2-3, and now they have some stretchs of winnable games to take them through the end of the season. I think the Rams will be laser focused on these actual bad teams they’re playing as they will need to win all of them to piece together a decent enough record for the playoffs. The Cardinals were the darling of the NFL for the first couple weeks as they looked surprisingly good, but things are quickly unraveling. Josh Dobbs was not going to trick the league for 17 weeks, and he turned into a pumpkin last week, throwing some late game picks and completing only 46% of his passes. Sean McVay owns the Cardinals, and he will own them again this Sunday.  Rams by a million. Score prediction: Rams 31 – Cardinals 17.

Denver Broncos @ Kansas City Chiefs – Thursday 10/12 (8:15 PM EST)
Pick: Broncos +10.5 (-110) (1 unit)

Late add here just minutes before kick off. The Broncos stink, but this is a spot where I actually like them to cover. Mahomes is unreal but he’s 41% ATS in his career when favored by a TD+. Half this Broncos team is playing to get traded so I think they show up here. Score Prediction: Chiefs 24 – Broncos 20.

DisclaimerSidehustlebetsMJQ.com is not an online gambling operator or a gambling site of any kind. Our insights about sports/sports betting are purely for entertainment purposes only.

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