What a historic Masters for Side Hustle Bets. Not only did we call the outright winner (shout out Scottie Scheffler) but we finished the tournament +20.931 units. That’s BIG money. For reference, that’s $2,093.10 using a $100 unit and $20,931.00 using a $1,000 unit. I think it’s safe to say the betting approach for golf is working…
Thanks for riding with us throughout the best tournament of the season, enjoy our take aways from the 2022 Masters and always remember to bet smarter, not harder.
Lessons Learned
Billy Horschel is the man. You have to love a player who wears his emotions on his sleeve and openly roots for his competitors. He embodies what golf is all about. Also if you’ve never seen how Horschel addresses his putts… you’re truly missing out. ONE OF US, ONE OF US.
The curse of the Masters favorite is real. No Masters favorite has ever won and Jon Rahm is no exception. Temper your expectations for future favorites regardless of how well they’re playing coming into the tournament.
Augusta National will always keep up with the talent. Despite how much better players continue to get with improved technology, training, etc Augusta will always pose a challenge. Between lengthening the course and some aid from Mother Nature, I feel truly lucky that we were able to hit the under on 278.5 strokes for the winning score. It also didn’t help that Scottie tried to give us a heart attack on 18 by three putting from 5 feet to finish with a final score of 278… Don’t expect to see super low scores at Augusta anytime soon.
Former Masters champs pose serious risk in regards to sports betting. Schwartzel (T10 finish) was 172nd in the world coming into Augusta, Danny Willett (T12 finish) was 161st in the world and several former champs unexpectedly made the cut including the GOAT Tiger Woods. There’s something about Augusta that awakens the competitor within former champs regardless of how they’ve played throughout the rest of the season. Keep that in mind for long shots in future Masters tournaments and don’t forget it when choosing which players to fade.
Hideki Matsuyama and Tiger Woods are absolute brutes. Despite dealing with neck and wrist injuries all week, Matsuyama was able to crack the top 15 (T14) and would’ve broken into the top 10 if it wasn’t for a round of 77 on Saturday. Woods gave us 2008 US Open flashbacks all week, clearly playing on only one healthy leg and leveraging his knowledge of the course to avoid trouble and impressively make the cut. I’m happy to eat my words as far as Matsuyama (he was one of my favorite players to fade coming into the week) and Tiger proved once again that you can never count him out.
Justin Thomas just can’t get out of his own way. If it wasn’t for such a god awful start on Thursday (76) JT should’ve finished inside the top 5. It feels like he’s right on the cusp of winning at Augusta but, realistically, he’s been on that cusp for a while now. He’s got the game to go low any day but he seems to fall prey to the hype. Not writing him off but definitely going to temper my expectations for him at Augusta moving forward.
Did Rory turn a corner on Sunday? McIlroy shot his career best low round at Augusta on Sunday shooting a 64 and reminding the field of his elite talent. People tend to forget that he’s only a Masters victory away from a career grand slam and at the age of 32 he still has a lot of time. When you can hit the ball a mile off the tee and your irons are automatic, you’re always a threat to win at Augusta. It feels like Rory is flying under the radar at this point so don’t be surprised when he pieces it all together and runs away with a Masters victory in the future.
Collin Morikawa is my favorite young player to win a grand slam. His iron play is unrivaled, he plays his best on the largest stages and he possesses a level of golf intelligence/maturity well beyond his years. If he’s able to get his putting more consistent he will be scary good.
Every player on tour should be terrified of the Ted Scott/Scottie Scheffler connection. Those two mesh so well and it’s invaluable to have a caddie who can keep things light with you and still provide next level service as far as his knowledge/experience. Hats off to Scottie Scheffler for snagging one of the better veteran caddies on tour and good on Tedd Scott for upgrading from Bubba Watson.
Hits
| Bet | Odds | Wager | Payout |
| 1st Round Top 10: Cameron Smith | +275 | 0.5 units | 1.375 units |
| 1st Round Top 10: Dustin Johnson | +300 | 0.5 units | 1.5 units |
| 1st Round Top 10: Tony Finau | +500 | 0.5 units | 2.5 units |
| 1st Round Matchup: Im vs Varner III | -145 | 1 unit | 0.6897 units |
| 1st Round Matchup: Smith vs Casey vs DeChambeau | +100 | 1 unit | 1 unit |
| 1st Round Matchup: Scheffler vs Scott vs Finau | +110 | 1 unit | 1.1 units |
| 2nd Round Matchup: Scheffler vs Scott vs Finau | +110 | 1 unit | 1.1 units |
| 2nd Round Matchup: Thomas vs Matsuyama vs Piot | -120 | 1 unit | 0.8333 units |
| Leader After 2nd Round: Scottie Scheffler | +600 | 0.5 units | 3 units |
| Missed Cut: Matt Wolff | -140 | 1 unit | 0.7143 units |
| MIssed Cut: Gary Woodland | +180 | 1 unit | 1.8 units |
| 2nd Round Matchup: Simpson vs Pieters | -125 | 1 unit | 0.8 units |
| 2nd Round Matchup: Burns vs Ancer | -125 | 1 unit | 0.8 units |
| 3rd Round Matchup: Rahm vs Hatton | -155 | 1 unit | 0.6542 units |
| 3rd Round Matchup: Morikawa vs Zalatoris | -125 | 1 unit | 0.8 units |
| 3rd Round Matchup: Smith vs Conners | -145 | 1 unit | 0.6897 units |
| Top Australian: Cameron Smith/Marc Leishman | -110/+340 | 1 unit/0.5 units | 0.4091 units (0.9091-0.5) |
| Top South Korean: Sungjae Im | +110 | 1 unit | 1.1 units |
| First Time Winner? Yes | +1200 | 0.5 units | 6 units |
| Winning Score Total: Under 278.5 Strokes | +100 | 1 unit | 1 unit |
| Tournament Matchup: Im vs Niemann | +100 | 1 unit | 1 unit |
| Top 20: Sungjae Im | +210 | 1 unit | 2.1 units |
| Top 20: Collin Morikawa | -125 | 1 unit | 0.8 units |
| Top 20: Cameron Smith | -165 | 1 unit | 0.6061 units |
| Top 20: Justin Thomas | -170 | 1 unit | 0.5882 units |
| Top 20: Scottie Scheffler | -175 | 1 unit | 0.5714 units |
| Top 10: Cameron Smith | +150 | 1 unit | 1.5 units |
| Top 10: Scottie Scheffler | +150 | 1 unit | 1.5 units |
| Top 10: Justin Thomas | +130 | 1 unit | 1.3 units |
| Outright Winner: Scottie Scheffler | +1700 | 0.2 units | 3.4 units |
| Top 30: Robert MacIntyre | +120 | 1 unit | 1.2 units |
| 42.431 units |
Misses
| Bet | Odds | Wager | Payout |
| 1st Round Top 10: Xander Schauffele | +310 | 0.5 units | -0.5 units |
| 1st Round Top 10: Collin Morikawa | +350 | 0.5 units | -0.5 units |
| 1st Round Matchup: Burns vs Ancer | -120 | 1 unit | -1 unit |
| 1st Round Matchup: Harman vs Cink vs Higgs | +125 | 1 unit | -1 unit |
| 1st Round Matchup: Henley vs Conners vs Westwood | +140 | 1 unit | -1 unit |
| 1st Round Matchup: Rose vs Woodland vs Kanaya | +130 | 1 unit | -1 unit |
| Leader After 2nd Round: Sungjae Im | +350 | 0.5 units | -0.5 units |
| Leader After 2nd Round: Cameron Smith | +400 | 0.5 units | -0.5 units |
| Leader After 2nd Round: Dustin Johnson | +600 | 0.5 units | -0.5 units |
| Missed Cut: Danny Willett | -160 | 1 unit | -1 unit |
| Missed Cut: Hideki Matsuyama | +200 | 1 unit | -1 unit |
| 2nd Round Matchup: Berger vs Lowry | -125 | 1 unit | -1 unit |
| Top Debutant: Sam Burns | +350 | 0.5 units | -0.5 units |
| Top 20: Sam Burns | +150 | 1 unit | -1 unit |
| Top 20: Xander Schauffele | -125 | 1 unit | -1 unit |
| Outright Winner: Xander Schauffele | +2400 | 0.2 units | -0.2 units |
| 3rd Round Matchup: MacIntyre vs Westwood | -135 | 1 unit | -1 unit |
| Top 30: Webb Simpson | +130 | 1 unit | -1 unit |
| Top 20: Webb Simpson | +275 | 1 unit | -1 unit |
| Top Former Winner: Dustin Johnson | +300 | 0.5 units | -0.5 units |
| Outright Winner: Justin Thomas | +1400 | 0.2 units | -0.2 units |
| Outright Winner: Cameron Smith | +1500 | 0.2 units | -0.2 units |
| Outright Winner: Collin Morikawa | +2200 | 0.2 units | -0.2 units |
| Outright Winner: Sungjae Im | +6000 | 0.2 units | -0.2 units |
| Top 20: Russell Henley | +100 | 1 unit | -1 unit |
| Top 20: Daniel Berger | +120 | 1 unit | -1 unit |
| 4th Round Matchup: Morikawa vs McIlroy | +105 | 1 unit | -1 unit |
| 4th Round Matchup: Lowry vs Im | +100 | 1 unit | -1 unit |
| 4th Round Matchup: Scheffler vs Smith | -125 | 1 unit | -1 unit |
| -21.5 units |
Pushes
| Bet | Odds | Wager | Payout |
| 2nd Round Matchup: Henley vs Powers | -140 | 1 unit | 0 units |
Round By Round Breakdown
| Round | Payout |
| 1st Round | +3.4616 units |
| 2nd Round | +1.5507 units |
| 3rd Round | +1.1439 units |
| 4th Round | +14.7748 units |
| +20.931 units |
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