CFB Week 17 Bets – Bowl Week #2

Sheeeeeesh. DPJ and I went 4-0 for our individual best bets last week and we don’t plan on stopping there. The slate of games only gets better from here so do your research, enjoy your holiday and always remember to bet smarter, not harder.

Q’s Best Bets (15-17 Overall)
North Texas vs Miami (OH)/Kent State vs Wyoming/UTSA vs San Diego State
Pick: 3 Team Parlay: N Texas +14, Kent State/Wyoming Totals Points Over 47.5, UTSA +14.5 (-130 odds)

This feels like an underdog slate to me this week so I’m investing in the points.

North Texas is basically playing a home game against Miami (OH) in the Frisco Football Classic this week. I think this should be a shootout (see my over bet breakdown below) but I think these two teams are evenly matched enough to keep the final score within two TDs. Factor in the concept of home field advantage for the Mean Green and a 5 game winning streak since 10/30 (capped off by an upset victory over UTSA) and you get a great chance for a spirited showing from North Texas… if not outright upset.

Kent State and Wyoming both have solid rush offenses (Kent State actually has a pretty solid passing game as well) and horrendous defenses. The two teams have combined to average over 55 points per game and allow over 57 points per game to their opposition on the season. Both teams are coming off brutal losses and 6 loss seasons coming into this matchup. Expect both offenses to step up the tempo and for both defenses to become overwhelmed early and often.

This UTSA/San Diego State matchup was much more straightforward before Sincere McCormick’s recent declaration for the NFL draft. If McCormick was playing in this game, I’d contemplate taking the UTSA spread straight up. Unfortunately, that’s not the case so I’m throwing them in this teaser to be safe due to the uncertainty of replacing him. UTSA is coming off a conference championship, possibly their best season ever and they’re trying to capture their first bowl victory in school history. San Diego State started out hot this season but cooled off and haven’t beaten a team by 14+ points since 10/9. The Aztecs got exposed in their conference championship against Utah State (although they were missing quite a few players due to COVID) and they’ve struggled to find their true identity on offense all season. I think this has a high possibility of becoming an ugly game considering the unknowns on UTSA’s offense now (post McCormick departure), the rejuvenation of San Diego State’s defense and an inconsistent Aztecs offense that hasn’t blown anyone out in 3 months. Expect this one to be close, take the points and the team attempting to write their names in their school’s history books (UTSA). 

North Texas vs Miami (OH) – Thursday, 12/23 (3:30 PM EST)
Pick: Total Points Over 54

I absolutely love this over. Both teams are averaging close to 40 points per game as of late, North Texas is basically playing a home game (only ~30 minutes away from their campus) and neither team has a great defense. This one has the makings of a shootout which can mean only one thing… points. Expect these two sides to go back and forth all game so sit back, relax and enjoy the action knowing that you don’t have to care who actually wins to cover. 

DPJ’s Best Bets (15-13-1 Overall)
North Texas vs Miami (OH) – Thursday, 12/23 (3:30 PM EST)
Pick: North Texas +4.5

DPJ breakdown coming soon.

UTSA vs San Diego State/UCF vs Florida
Pick: 6 Point Teaser: UTSA +9, Florida -0.5 (-110 odds)

DPJ breakdown coming soon.

Best of the Best Bets – DPJ & Q approved (11-12 Overall)
Missouri vs Army – Wednesday, 12/22 (8:00 PM EST)
Pick: Army -3

Yes, I’m taking the Black Knights again only a week after they let us down against Navy. Like I said last week, both teams seem to come into that rivalry 0-0 every year and 2021 was no exception. I still think Army was the better team and they’re offense simply stalled out as the game progressed (definitely some questionable officiating calls as well), but hey we’re here to talk about the Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl… not live in the past. 

This is arguably the most prolific offense that Army has had in a decade. Christian Anderson is an absolute stud and he’s currently rocking a QB rating of over 165 against non conference competition this season… yeah, I’d say that’s pretty solid. Army’s run game hit new heights this season, their defense took multiple steps forward and they’re definitely going to come out heated after a devastating loss to an inferior Navy team two weeks ago. Missouri on the other hand has had a very underwhelming season and barely fumbled their way into bowl eligibility with only 6 wins. They were able to beat an uninspired Florida squad in OT that had just lost their head coach, but they played the role of punching bag against every other decent team they faced throughout the season. Rolling with the team that wants it most in this one, taking Army with confidence. – Q

CFB Bowl Season Pick’em – Results after Bowl Week #1 (5-4 Overall)

Friday, 12/17 (12:00 PM EST)Bahamas BowlMTSU vs ToledoToledo
Friday, 12/17 (6:00 PM EST)Tailgreeter Cure BowlN Illinois vs Coastal CarolinaCoastal Carolina
Saturday, 12/18 (11:00 AM EST) Boca Raton BowlW Kentucky vs App StateApp State
Saturday, 12/18 (2:15 PM EST)PUBG Mobile New Mexico BowlUTEP vs Fresno StateFresno State
Saturday, 12/18 (3:30 PM EST)Radiance Technologies Independence BowlUAB vs BYUBYU
Saturday, 12/18 (5:45 PM EST)LendingTree BowlE Michigan vs LibertyLiberty
Saturday, 12/18 (7:30 PM EST)Jimmy Kimmel LA BowlUtah State vs Oregon StateOregon State
Saturday, 12/18 (9:15 PM EST)R+L Carriers New Orleans BowlLouisiana vs MarshallLouisiana 
Monday, 12/20 (2:30 PM EST)Myrtle Beach BowlOld Dominion vs TulsaTulsa
Tuesday, 12/21 (3:30 PM EST)Famous Idaho Potato BowlKent State vs WyomingKent State
Tuesday, 12/21 (7:30 PM EST)Tropical Smoothie Cafe Frisco BowlUTSA vs San Diego StateUTSA
Wednesday, 12/22 (8:00 PM EST)Lockheed Martin Armed Forces BowlMissouri vs ArmyArmy
Thursday, 12/23 (3:30 PM EST)Frisco Football ClassicN Texas vs Miami (OH)N Texas
Thursday, 12/23 (7:00 PM EST)Union Home Mortgage Gasparilla BowlUCF vs FloridaFlorida
Friday, 12/24 (8:00 PM EST)EasyPost Hawaii BowlMemphis vs HawaiiMemphis 
Saturday, 12/25 (2:30 PM EST)TaxAct Camellia BowlGeorgia State vs Ball StateGeorgia State
Monday, 12/27 (11:00 AM EST)Quick Lane BowlW Michigan vs NevadaW Michigan
Monday, 12/27 (2:30 PM EST)Military BowlBoston College vs E CarolinaECU
Tuesday, 12/28 (12:00 PM EST)TicketSmarter Birmingham BowlHouston vs AuburnAuburn
Tuesday, 12/28 (3:15 PM EST)SERVPRO First Responder BowlAir Force vs LouisvilleAir Force
Tuesday, 12/28 (6:45 PM EST)AutoZone Liberty BowlMississippi State vs Texas TechMississippi State
Tuesday, 12/28 (8:00 PM EST)San Diego Country Credit Union Holiday BowlUCLA vs NC StateUCLA
Tuesday, 12/28 (10:15 PM EST)Guaranteed Rate BowlW Virginia vs MinnesotaMinnesota
Wednesday, 12/29 (11:00 AM EST)Wasabi Fenway BowlSMU vs VirginiaVirginia
Wednesday, 12/29 (2:15 PM EST)New Era Pinstripe BowlMaryland vs Virginia TechVirginia Tech
Wednesday, 12/29 (5:45 PM EST)Cheez-It BowlClemson vs Iowa StateClemson
Wednesday, 12/29 (9:15 PM EST)Valero Alamo BowlOregon vs OklahomaOklahoma
Thursday, 12/30 (11:30 AM EST)Duke’s Mayo BowlUNC vs S CarolinaUNC
Thursday, 12/30 (3:00 PM EST)TransPerfect Music City BowlTennessee vs PurdueTennessee
Thursday, 12/30 (7:00 PM EST)Chick-fila Peach BowlPittsburgh vs Michigan StateMichigan State
Thursday, 12/30 (10:30 PM EST)SRS Distribution Las Vegas BowlWisconsin vs Arizona StateWisconsin 
Friday, 12/31 (11:00 AM EST)TaxSlayer Gator BowlWake Forest vs Texas A&MTexas A&M
Friday, 12/31 (12:00 PM EST)Tony the Tiger Sun BowlWashington State vs MiamiWashington State
Friday, 12/31 (2:00 PM EST)Barstool Sports Arizona BowlC Michigan vs Boise StateBoise State
Friday, 12/31 (3:30 PM EST)Goodyear Cotton BowlCincinnati vs AlabamaAlabama
Friday, 12/31 (7:30 PM EST)Capital One Orange BowlGeorgia vs MichiganGeorgia
Saturday, 1/1 (12:00 PM EST)Outback BowlPenn State vs ArkansasPenn State
Saturday, 1/1 (1:00 PM EST)PlayStation Fiesta BowlOklahoma State vs Notre DameOklahoma State
Saturday, 1/1 (1:00 PM EST)Vrbo Citrus BowlIowa vs KentuckyKentucky
Saturday, 1/1 (5:00 PM EST)Rose BowlUtah vs Ohio StateOhio State
Saturday, 1/1 (8:45 PM EST)Allstate Sugar BowlBaylor vs Ole MissOle Miss
Tuesday, 1/4 (9:00 PM EST)TaxAct Texas BowlLSU vs Kansas StateKansas State

Disclaimer: is not an online gambling operator or a gambling site of any kind. Our insights about sports/sports betting are purely for entertainment purposes only. 

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