NFL Week 7 Bets

The shift to exclusively best of the best bets in week 6 didn’t necessarily pay off like we thought it would, but it’s hard to complain about a 3-4 week. However…we hope you are keeping your eyes fixed on our risky business section as we went 4-4 last week to the tune of +3.6 units. On the season our risky business bets are up 7.5 total units, Q and DPJ might be calling themselves the TeaserBoys or the ParlayKids when all is said and done. We’ve cooked up another week of personal best bets, a best of the best, and a handful of risky biz. Let’s ride to the promised land, folks.

Q’s Best Bets (9-5 Overall)
Carolina Panthers @ NY Giants – Sunday, 10/24 (1:00 PM EST)
Pick: Panthers -2.5

This might not seem like a glamorous pick, but hear me out. The Panthers defense has been one of the biggest surprises of the year so far. They currently rank inside the top 5 or top 10 in every major defensive category and they’re absolutely flush with young talent. The Giants offense on the other hand is riddled with injuries and realistically has never really been that good to begin with. The Panthers offense will be missing Christian McCaffrey but Chuba Hubbard has stepped up admirably in his absence and it’s hard to think the Panthers WRs could play any worse in week 7 than they did against the Vikings last week (6 dropped passes). Sam Darnold is having somewhat of a roller coaster season thus far but he’s shown glimpses of greatness when he’s had time in the pocket. That shouldn’t be an issue against this average at best Giants defense. I’m expecting Darnold and the Panthers to bounce back offensively this week after a heart breaking OT loss to the Vikings at home and the Panthers defense are sure to give Daniel Jones trouble all game. Rolling with the Panthers in this one by a TD.

NY Jets @ New England Patriots – Sunday, 10/24 (1:00 PM EST)
Pick: Total Points Under 44.5

This matchup should be a “two sides of the same coin” type scenario. Both of these offenses are led by rookie QBs, without many weapons, still trying to find their footing in the league. Both of these defenses have been surprisingly stingy and rank towards the top of the league in most defensive categories through week 6. Both of these defenses are coached by great defensive minds in Robert Saleh and Bill Belichick, the latter of which will be a Hall of Famer who loves feasting on rookie QBs. Last but not least, both teams have combined for 3 wins all year… almost entirely due to how bad their offenses have been. Belichick absolutely tormented Zach Wilson in week 2, holding the Jets to 6 points and causing Wilson to turn the ball over 4 times, and sharks don’t forget the taste of blood in the water. The Pats have a slightly better offense but the Jets are coming off a bye and should play energized against a Pats offensive line that has struggled to protect its QB all year. Expecting a defensive struggle in this one and rolling with the under.

DPJ’s Best Bets (10-9 Overall)
Cincinnati Bengals @ Baltimore Ravens – Sunday, 10/24 (1:00 PM EST)
Pick: Bengals +7

The Bengals (formerly known as the Bungals) and Ravens meet for the first time in the ‘21-’22 season in what could be the best game of the weekend. Let’s take a moment to appreciate the fact that for years we watched Andy Dalton and Joe Flacco square up for these two teams and now we have the delight of watching Joe Burrow vs Lamar Jackson. Oh how far we have come. The Bengals are off to a great start and without several missed game winning FGs vs. the Packers they would be sitting at 5-1. Meanwhile, the Ravens are coming off their biggest win of the year at home last week vs the Chargers and I really think this could be a bit of a let down spot for them. Baltimore will want to run the football per usual, and the Bengals have been strong against the run (8th fewest yds per game). On the other side of the ball, the Ravens’ secondary is vulnerable vs. the pass and I’d expect Burrow and Co. to have a field day. I like Cincy and the over in this one, but more than anything like the Bungals to finish inside of a TD and cover the +7.

Philadelphia Eagles @ Las Vegas Raiders – Sunday, 10/24 (4:05 PM EST)
Pick: Raiders -3

The Eagles are somehow not the biggest shit show in Philadelphia right now with known-coward Ben Simmons deciding he is too cool for school and actively trying to submarine the Sixers franchise like a Japanese U boat in Pearl Harbor. That may seem a little dramatic, and I’m not even a Sixers fan, but this Simmons stuff is just down right amusing. Take a glance down the street at Lincoln Financial Field and the Eagles are 2-4 and very much moving in the wrong direction. Ben Simmons is the perfect cover for Nick Sirianni in what could be a short couple years as head coach in Philly. There is no doubt that Gruden has left his mark (more of a shit stain) on the Raiders but honestly, I don’t think anyone thought he was a good coach and it seems like not many of his players even respected him either. Rich Bisaccia is just the type of Ra-Ra interim coach to keep the boys from Vegas charging forward. I think we see the Raiders light up the Eagles defense for 28+ points just like we’ve seen all the other good offenses do against them.

Best of the Best Bets – DPJ & Q approved (5-9 Overall)
Kansas City Chiefs @ Tennessee Titans – Sunday, 10/24 (1:00 PM EST)
Pick: Chiefs -4

Pretty simple take here. The Titans are due for a let down game after their biggest win of the season, the Titans defense is awful and the Chiefs offense is being grossly undervalued this week. Don’t get me wrong, the Chiefs defense is trash as well and Derrick Henry could definitely run all over them. That said, the Titans will be playing on a short week and Henry just thrashed a solid Bills defense for 143 yards and 3 TDs on the ground. That’s enough production combined with a lack of recovery time to slow down anyone, even King Henry. I’d like to thank Vegas for this overreaction line both ways (shorting the Chiefs and overestimating the Titans) and I’m hoping I can continue to take advantage of this disrespect towards the Chiefs for the rest of the season. Take Mahomes and the Chiefs with confidence in this one and don’t be surprised if they win by multiple scores. – Q

Other Action (34-41-3 Overall)

Broncos @ Browns: Broncos +4.5

WFT @ Packers: Packers -8.5

Chiefs @ Titans: Total Points Over 55

Falcons @ Dolphins: Falcons -2

Jets @ Patriots: Patriots -6.5

Panthers @ Giants: Total Points Under 46

Bears @ Bucs: Bucs -12.5

Bears @ Bucs: Total Points Under 49

Colts @ 49ers: 49ers -3

Colts @ 49ers: Total Points Over 44

Saints @ Seahawks: Saints -4.5

Saints @ Seahawks: Total Points Over 43.5

Risky Business (15-9 Overall; currently up 7.5 units)

3 Team – 6 Point Teaser (+180 odds): Lions (+22.5), Patriots (-0.5), Saints (+1.5)

3 Team – 7 Point Teaser (+120 odds): Bucs (-5.5), Bengals (+14), Packers (-1.5)

3 Team Parlay (+170 odds): Chiefs Money Line, Patriots Money Line, Saints Money Line

Disclaimer: is not an online gambling operator or a gambling site of any kind. Our insights about sports/sports betting are purely for entertainment purposes only.

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