The accounting department at SHB headquarters continue to count Jake and Q’s winnings week after week (in college football at least) as we are now +13.35 units combined on the year, with our bets hitting at nearly 60%. Jake sits at 31-18-2 (63%) after a 4-1 week which added 2.77 units to his total of 10.9. Q sits at 20-17 (54%) after a 2-1 week 11, adding nearly a unit to his 2.45 total on the year. This College Football season has been a delight to watch and it continues to deliver financially for us and our readers. Let’s keep stacking units as we get into the holiday season. Always remember to bet smarter, not harder.

DPJ’s Best Bets (After Week 11: 31-18-2, +10.90 units)

The best game of the weekend is yet another PAC12 matchup, as the Huskies travel to Corvallis to take on the Beavers in a game with huge CFP implications. The Washington Huskies have one of the best passing offenses of all time and they continue to put up points week after week. They’ve scored over 31 points in every game this season which is ridiculous. However…I think this Oregon State team can give them some trouble, and I think Washington has been playing with fire for most of the fall and is due for an L. Six of the Huskies last seven wins have come by less than 10 points, and they haven’t looked like the better team in several of them. Their offense can only bail out a below average defense for so long I think that catches up with them in Corvallis. Reser Stadium is also a sneaky tough place to play. It will be raining, it will be loud, and I think the Beavers shine here under the bright lights. I’m taking OSU -1 and sprinkling a half unit on the over. Score Prediction: Oregon State 34 – Washington 30. 

Taking the over in an Iowa game might be the dumbest thing I do all year but I think I’m reading the tea leaves correctly here. Iowa has held four straight opponents to 12 points or less, and the final score total has not breached 22 points in that span. Their defense has been playing great, but they’ve also been playing some god-awful offenses in Rutgers, Northwestern, Minnesota and Wisconsin. This Illinois team is a different bird. They can actually pass the ball, a rarity in today’s Big10, as they’ve averaged 261 pass yards per game (59th in the country). All of those other teams were outside the top 100. Illinois hung 48 on Indiana last week, 27 on Minnesota, 21 on Wisconsin and 27 on Maryland the week prior. Their offense is trending in the right direction, and I think they’ll be able to do enough to finally push an Iowa game over. Score Prediction: Illinois 17 – Iowa 16

Let me start by saying this, I’m already pre-mad about the possibility of an Alabama / Texas CFP decision that could loom over the committee when they make their final picks on December 3rd. There are still some big games to be played, but there’s a real chance 1-loss SEC Champion Alabama and 1-loss Big12 Champion Texas could be vying for the same playoff spot. Bama lost to them earlier this year, but Bama is clearly the better team, so it could get very messy. The good news is I have a feeling the Texas Longhorns will find a way to squander this opportunity and could potentially lose on the road in Ames, IA on Saturday night. Similar to my Washington fade, the Texas Longhorns have been playing with fire for weeks. After losing to Oklahoma in week six, they went in to Houston favored by 23.5 and only won by seven, two weeks later they barely beat KSU by three, then last week they almost let TCU come all the way back and barely beat them by three. Texas is asking for an L, and Iowa State is a frisky type of team that can make that a reality. Score Prediction: Iowa State 24 – Texas 23.

I’ve spent pretty much all of 2023 avoiding teasers and ML parlays like the plague. In fact, I’ve only dabbled with this type of bet once this year (week 1) and guess what, it was an L. I have purposefully been choosing my spots and I’m ready to unleash a juicy alternate spread parlay on Saturday. 

The first leg is the Georgia Bulldogs heading to Tennessee to take on the Vols. Tennessee got their teeth kicked in last week in Missouri, eliminating themselves from SEC contention and closing out any CFP dreams. Georgia on the other hand is really hitting their stride and is starting to feel like an inevitability to three-peat as CFP champs. They are really, really, really good on both sides of the ball and can beat you in a ton of different ways. The real game spread is around 10 points here, but I’m buying it down to -5.5. Score Prediction: Georgia 33 – Tennessee 23. 

Leg number two has me dipping back into America’s Conference aka The Mountain West. San Jose State has won four in a row and are an incredible 7-2-1 against the spread this year. Their offense has been really impressive with stud RB Kairee Robinson having a huge year (7.1 ypc, 15 TDs). Conversely, the Aztecs do literally nothing well on either side of the ball and are likely ready to pack it up for the season in a couple weeks and enjoy their holidays without getting their asses beat every Saturday. The spread on this one is 14.5 which I don’t love, so we are buying it down to -6.5. Score Prediction: SJSU 27 – SDSU 13.

The Missouri Tigers are a damn good football team. That win over Tennessee last week was as impressive as they come. They dominated the Vols in every phase of the game and held a top-25 offense to just 7 points. Normally I’d like to fade a team coming off an impressive win like that, but Missouri seems locked in, and even if they won’t sniff the CFP or even the SEC Championship game they look awfully determined. They have a balanced offensive attack that should give a terrible Florida defense some trouble. The Gators have allowed 39+ points to their opponents in four straight games, and 33+ in five of their last six. I love the Tigers in this one, and I think we may see another blow out by half time. Score Prediction: Missouri 38 – Florida 20.  

Q’s Best Bets (After Week 11: 20-17, +2.455 units)