We are putting a rough Week 9 behind us and looking ahead to Week 10. There are a slew of boring teams on bye this week (ATL, IND, NE, NO) but we also have 7 games with a spread of 6+ points. Many of these games could get ugly quick, but at least we get Eagles @ Chiefs on MNF. Jake is still looking to claw out of the -8 unit hole, and Q continues to do much of the heavy lifting as he’s nearly 3 units in the green. We may be a combined 40-47-1 on the year for -5.97 units but we’re ready to hit our stride in the final third of the season. As always…bet smarter, not harder.

DPJ’s Best Bets (After Week 10: 17-26-1, -8.75 units)

You will sense a theme here with some of my week 11 picks, I’m taking the under in all three prime-time games. This trend is simply getting too ridiculous to ignore as prime-time unders are 25-7 on the season thus far. I dipped my toe in the water last week with the Jets/Raiders SNF under, and now i’m diving in head first. Coupled with Tee Higgins unlikely to suit up for the Bengals, and Odell Beckham Jr. nursing a sore knee, both offenses could sputter a bit in week 11. The Ravens and the Bengals are both fighting for playoff position in different ways. Baltimore is fighting for the #1 seed and a first round bye, and Cincy is battling for a wild card spot. I expect both defenses to show up and what will likely be another sloppy TNF game. Score Prediction: Ravens 23 – Bengals 20. 

This Steelers/Browns game is going to be disgusting from start to finish. If the Big 10 West had a baby with MAC, this would be that baby’s dream game. There will be a lot of punting and likely a lot of turnovers, and that is the exact type of game the Steelers and Mike Tomlin love to play. Deshaun Watson is out for the season after getting shoulder surgery this morning which means we are getting either the DTR or PJ Walker show on Sunday. Both QBs have been comically bad this year filling in for Watson, as they’ve combined for 1TD, 5 INTs and a 50% completion percentage. The Steelers defense are not world-beaters like the Ravens or 49ers but they have a knack for forcing turnovers and are tied for the league lead with 18. This game is going to be so ugly but so funny at the same time. I’d like to take the under but we can’t rule out several pick sixes to push the total over 33.5. Score Prediction: Steelers 20 – Browns 16. 

The Rams might finally be healthy coming off a bye as they get the Seahawks at home on Sunday afternoon in LA. They’re still missing RB Kyren Williams who is on IR with a knee injury but Matthew Stafford is expected to suit up on Sunday to take on Seattle’s reeling pass defense. Sam Howell lit them up for 312 yards and 3 TDs last week and the Raven’s blew the doors off of them in week 10. Even PJ Walker, who belongs in the XFL, was able to piece together a 248 yard game against them in week 9. The Rams looked awful the last two weeks with a slew of injuries but I expect a bounce back effort after two weeks off. Also, the Rams have always played the Seahawks well under Sean McVay. Their 8-5 since he was hired in 2017 and if you remove the two Ls last year where Stafford, Kuff and Donald all didn’t play they would be 8-3. And none of those three losses came at SoFi Stadium. Score Prediction: Rams 24 – Seahawks 20. 

Let’s say it again together: prime-time unders are 25-7 this year. We’re back again with the Vikings and Broncos under on Sunday Night Football in Denver. I think this one is exceptionally viable as the Broncos defense has been playing much better for the last 4 weeks, and the league will likely start to catch up to that bald menace Josh Dobbs. I’m not gonna waste anymore words hear as I’m following the trend more than anything. Score Prediction: Vikings 20 – Broncos 21.

Let’s say it one more time: prime-time unders are 25-7 this year. The Cheifs defense looks great and their offense has struggled a bit. Travis Kelce spent the bye weeks chasing his girlfriend around South American instead of studying his playbook. Jalen Hurts looks banged up every week and could be one his away from heading to the locker room. I think this one is going to be a rock fight, and once again prime-time unders are 25-7. Score Prediction: Chiefs 23 – Eagles 17.

Q’s Best Bets (After Week 10: 23-21, +2.78 units)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ San Francisco 49ers
Pick: George Kittle Total Receiving Yards Over 42.5 (-115) (1 unit)

Los Angeles Chargers @ Green Bay Packers
Pick: Chargers Team Total Over 23.5 (-110) (1 unit)