NFL Week 10 Bets

Good news about last week? We continuously follow up our down weeks with huge bounce backs. We’ve reached the mid point of the NFL season and the true contenders are beginning to separate themselves. Time to bank on the big dogs. Bet smarter, not harder.

Q’s Best Bets (After Week 9: 22-18, +4.835 units)

San Francisco 49ers @ Jacksonville Jaguars – Sunday, 11/12 (1:00 PM EST)
Pick: Same Game Parlay: Christian McCaffrey Anytime TD Scorer/49ers Moneyline (+133) (1 unit)

Probably my favorite parlay of the season so far. Christian McCaffrey is one TD away from breaking the all time record for consecutive games with a TD (currently 17 games in a row), the 49ers (still very much Super Bowl contenders) have dropped 3 games in a row and the market is overreacting to the Jags recent success.

The 49ers should get Deebo Samuel back and it sounds like there’s a great chance that Trent Williams and Dre Greenlaw could also return. That’s huge news… It’s also worth mentioning that Chase Young (recently traded from Washington) should only get more comfortable in his new defense every week and there’s a chance that Brock Purdy was still recovering from his concussion when he played poorly last week. The Jags are playing well right now, don’t get me wrong. But who would’ve thought we could’ve gotten these odds at the beginning of the season? Not me. Time to capitalize on the start of the Niners playoff push. Score Prediction: 49ers 27 – Jaguars 20.

Indianapolis Colts “@” New England Patriots (Germany Game)/NY Giants @ Dallas Cowboys
Pick: 2 Leg Parlay: Colts/Patriots Total Points Under 47.5/Cowboys -6.5 (-106) (1 unit)

Bill Belichick’s defense against a Gardner Minshew led Colts squad in an overseas game? Not ideal for Indy fans. The Colts have been forced to rely on the run this season but even the lowly Panthers were able to keep Indy in check on the ground last week. The Pats defense hasn’t been as stingy this season as their typical standard but they have been good against the run. Given the likely jet lag both squads will be playing through for this international match, average offenses at best and Bill Belichick’s defensive mind… Points will mostly definitely be at a premium here. Score Prediction: Colts 23 – Patriots 20.

Don’t let last week’s loss to the Eagles fool you, the Cowboys are legit this year. Dak is finally starting to play better, the Cowboys defense looks great and they face off against the worst team in the league this week at home. Bounce back city. Cowboys cover a TD in this one easy. Score Prediction: Cowboys 27 – Giants 13.

Washington Commanders @ Seattle Seahawks – Sunday, 11/12 (4:25 PM EST)
Pick: Seahawks -6 (-115) (1 unit)

Vegas just loves to fade Seattle, no? It at least makes a little more sense this season given Geno’s poor play to start the year but this week’s line is simply too low. The Seahawks offense is actually starting to play up more to their standard than people seem to realize as of late and the Commanders’ pass rush is virtually non existent now after shipping off Chase Young and Montez Sweat after the trade deadline recently. Washington’s defense surprisingly held up last week but that was against a terrible Pats offense that couldn’t move the ball against really any team. I fully suspect Geno will pick this secondary apart given the large amount of time/protection he should see in the pocket all game and the Seahawks are absolutely desperate for a bounce back win at home after getting pummeled by the Ravens last week. Hawks win convincingly this week. Score Prediction: Seahawks 27 – Commanders 17.

Denver Broncos @ Buffalo Bills – Monday, 11/13 (8:15 PM EST)
Pick: Bills -7 (-115) (1 unit)

Josh Allen in a bounce back prime time game at home against a far inferior opponent? Easy money. The Bills defense has struggled since losing some key pieces in their secondary but now they face a Russ who still hasn’t quite found his passion for cooking and a Broncos’ defense that almost gave up a record number of points in one game to the Dolphins earlier this season (a Dolphins team that got absolutely throttled by Buffalo a few weeks back). I fully expect the Bills to thrust themselves back into the contender conversation this week and win big at home. Let’s go Buffalo. Score Prediction: Bills 31 – Broncos 20.

DPJ’s Best Bets (After Week 9: 15-24-1, -8.57 units)

Texans @ Bengals – Sunday 11/12 (1:00 PM EST)

Pick: Texans +7.5 (-110) (1 unit)

Pick: under 47 (-110) (1 unit)

I’m loading up some double action on this game, as the Texans are on the road in Cincinnati on Sunday afternoon. Both of these teams have the national attention for different reasons. Houston has zero real championship hopes for this year, but rookie QB CJ Stroud looks more and more like the truth every week. I don’t expect him to come close to the numbers he put up last week as he set multiple rookie records vs Tampa, but I think he’ll do enough to keep them close. The Bengals on the other hand are really hitting their stride and look like a top three team in the AFC. However, they could be without their two stud receivers (Chase and Higgins) and even if they suit up I don’t expect maximum performance from either of them. Their defense should still show out as usual, hence the under play. You could parlay both these picks, but I’m gonna keep them separate here with a unit on each. Score Prediction: Bengals 23 – Texans 17. 

Browns @ Ravens – Sunday 11/12 (1:00 PM EST)

Pick: Ravens -6 (-110) (1 unit)

This Ravens team is an absolute monster. In an era where passing yards and high-flying offense have dominated our attention, Baltimore is turning back the clock with thunderous run game (1st in ypg on the ground) and menacing defense (2nd in ypg allowed). Lamar continues to pass the ball with ease and efficiency and they haven’t had to rely on him to win too many games yet with his arm. I think we see much of the same on Sunday in Baltimore. The Browns have an impressive pass defense but I suspect they will have some trouble stopping the run, especially in the second half. Cleveland’s offense will likely struggle mightily to move the ball, keeping the Browns defense on the field for much of the game. Cleveland’s three best OTs are also out in this game so they’ll be relying on a hodge-podge group to slow down one of the best pass rushing defenses in the NFL. This game won’t look quite like the 28-3 Baltimore beat down on October 1st with DTR under center for Cleveland, but I think it’s gonna get ugly fast. Score Prediction: Ravens 24 – Browns 13. 

Jets @ Raiders – Sunday 11/12 (5:20 PM EST)

Pick: under 37 (-110) (1 unit) 

What a slap in the face by the NFL that they kept this disgusting game in the prime-time SNF slot this Sunday. Zach Wilson vs Aiden O’Connell? What the hell. Even after the Raiders impressive 30-6 shellacking of the Giants last week, I don’t think this team has the juice like that. You can only use “F you Josh McDaniels” as motivation so many times until you actually have to play as a cohesive and talented football team. I think that motivation will run out after one game here as the Jets defense is an entirely different beast compared to NYG. We all know Zach Wilson stinks so I won’t waste much time writing about him but the Jets only chance of success is on the ground, which should grind some clock as well. I also don’t have any numbers to back this up but it feels like prime-time games are going under 100% of the time this year. Score Prediction: Jets 20 – Raiders 13.

DisclaimerSidehustlebetsMJQ.com is not an online gambling operator or a gambling site of any kind. Our insights about sports/sports betting are purely for entertainment purposes only.

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