CFB Week 10 Bets

Week 9 was… not ideal. Fret not! We’re still 39-30-2 for +7.165 units on the year. Live and learn, right? It’s a number game folks. Always remember to bet smarter, not harder.

Q’s Best Bets (After Week 9: 16-14, +1.675 units)

Notre Dame @ Clemson – Saturday, 11/4 (12:00 PM EST)
Pick: Clemson +3.5 (-110) (1 unit)

Not only is this a buy low spot on Clemson this season, it might be the buy low spot on the program in general at this point (coming from an alum). If Dabo has ever had a time to fire up the troops… it’s now. I never thought I’d say Dabo’s head is on the chopping blocking, but given his inability to use the transfer portal/his pattern of passing this season’s blame onto others (including the Clemson fan base itself), the time is now for the orange and purple if Dabo wants to retain any semblance of greatness for this program (and/or his job at this point). People might not realize that this is one of the better defenses Clemson has ever had (on paper) and Sam Hartman has struggled to get the job done against Clemson during his time in the ACC. If Cade Klubnik (AND Dabo) can keep it together at home here then this should be an extremely close matchup. I completely understand if you pass on this game but there is value here despite recent… “performance” we’ll say. Dabo and the Tigers to save his job at home for the win. Score Prediction: Clemson 24 – Notre Dame 21.

Penn State @ Maryland – Saturday, 11/4 (3:30 PM EST)
Pick: Maryland +10.5 (-110) (1 unit)

Classic look ahead spot for Penn State plus they face a team with a better QB on the road in Taulia Tagovailoa. Not only do I have zero faith in Allar in general at this point, I have zero faith in Allar’s ability to move the ball on the road… especially while he’s distracted knowing he faces Michigan next week. Stay tuned on Maryland… very chance I come back to the well here for some additional Big Ten look ahead spots in the future. Bank on the Terrapins to keep things close against James Franklin’s squad in Week 9. Score Prediction: Penn State 27 – Maryland 20.

Kansas @ Iowa State – Saturday, 11/4 (7:00 PM EST)
Pick: Iowa State -2.5 (-108) (1 unit)

Not going to lie, banking on a traditional let down spot here in general for Kansas after their heroic win against Oklahoma last week. Statistically… the bank roll is in Iowa State’s favor here. Not only are teams only ~35% ATS after a big top 20 upset, but they’re only ~28% ATS following a top 20 upset that occurred at home. Iowa State is very much still in control of their own destiny in regards to winning this conference, Kansas is at all time high risk for a sleeper game on the road and Kansas’s defense has been suspect in general heading into this matchup. Smells like a potential upset, but at the very least a close game for the Cyclones. Score Prediction: Kansas 27 – Iowa State 24.

UCLA @ Arizona – Saturday, 11/4 (10:30 PM EST)
Pick: Arizona +3.5 (-110) (1 unit)

Fully expect Jake to be all over this game but I’m also on board to the point that I’m taking the Wildcats for a full unit to keep this one inside a field goal (if not win outright). Arizona’s schedule is brutal (and has been to be fair) from this point on so a chance to snag that bowl qualifying win against a subpar QB at home is too much to pass up. To give the Wildcats credit, they might be one of the most underrated squads in D1 college football at the moment. They’re undefeated ATS as an underdog currently, Fifita might have been the answer from the jump and they have a solid rushing attack. This should ultimately turn into a defensive battle that comes down to QBs and, if so, I like my chances with Fifita at home to keep this one within a field goal (if not win) vs a UCLA squad that clearly hasn’t found the replacement for DTR yet. Score Prediction: UCLA 24 – Arizona 23.

DPJ’s Best Bets (After Week 9: 23-16-2, +5.49 units)

UCLA @ Arizona – Saturday, 11/4 (10:30 PM EST)

Pick: Arizona +3.5 (-110) (1 unit)

I’m back with a couple more home-dog PAC12 picks this week and the first one is my alma mater Arizona Wildcats at home against UCLA. The Cats are rolling right now, they’ve won two in a row and haven’t lost a game by more than 7 points all year. They hung in there at home against a really good Washington team, and they should have beat USC at the Coliseum.  Redshirt Freshman Noah Fafita is completing nearly 76% of his passes and has a near 4-1 TD-INT ratio. He’s doing that with a couple big WR threats in Jacob Cowing and Tetairoa McMillan. Jedd Fisch has this program moving in the right direction and they get another test under the lights in Tucson on Saturday night. UCLA has an incredibly tough run defense but they can be beat with the pass, and that’s exactly what Fifita will look to do all night. This should be a fun one. Score Prediction: Arizona 27 – UCLA 26.

Penn State @ Maryland – Saturday, 11/4 (3:30 PM EST)
Pick: Maryland +10.5 (-110) (1 unit)

The Q and Jake alliance is strong this week as we are both backing Arizona and Maryland at home. The Terps struggled in October with the cherry on top (or bottom?) being an absolutely embarrassing loss last week on the road at Northwestern. They were double digit favorites and lost by 6…surrendering 33 points to one of the worst offenses in the country. This matchup with PSU is a great opportunity for them to get back on track and find their footing going into their final three games as they seek a bowl game berth. As Q pointed out, PSU will absolutely be looking ahead to next weeks matchup with Michigan and they likely won’t be looking sharp in this one on the road in in College Park. Tarps off for the Terps. Score Prediction: Penn State 24 – Maryland 23.

Oregon State @ Colorado – Saturday, 11/4 (10:00 PM EST)
Pick: Colorado +13.5 (-110) (1 unit)

It’s week 10 of this CFB season and I think it’s about time I put a wager down on the Sanders family. I’ve been fading them for most of the year…quite honestly I was sick and tired of hearing about them every day despite how impressive they’ve been after being one of the worst program in the country last year. Assuming the CU fans are still going to fill up the stadium and cheer on the boys in black and gold, I love the Buffs in this spot. 13.5 point dogs at home against and Oregon State team who are good but not great. Those two TDs that we’ll be sitting on with this spread will be immensely valuable as Shedeur Sanders will be stat padding late and likely looking for a back door cover. Full disclosure, Sanders is questionable right now and if he ends up being ruled out I will be cancelling this bet (I’ll add a replacement bet, don’t worry). Score Prediction: Oregon State 30 – Colorado 24.

Army @ Air Force – Saturday, 11/4 (2:30 PM EST)
Pick: Under 32.5 (-110) (1 unit)

There is nothing more American than betting the under in an Armed Services matchup. Why might you ask? Army, Navy and Airforce have met 55 times since 2005 and the under is 44-10-10 in that time. That is nearly 82%!!! Ridiculous. I neglected to jump on AFA/Navy a few weeks ago which cashed the under at 37, and I’m not missing the opportunity here with a god-damn-absurd low number 32.5. This number could be 22.5 and I would probably still bet it. Between this game and the Iowa/Northwestern game on Saturday we could have two of the grosses CFB games in recent memory. Run, punt, run, punt, run, punt. Love it. Score Prediction: Airforce 13 – Army 3.

LSU @ Alabama – Saturday, 11/4 (7:45 PM EST)
Pick: Alabama -3 (-110) (1 unit)

I would pay a large sum of money to teleport to Tuscaloosa on Saturday night for what will be a very loud and likely very awesome matchup between the Tigers and the Crimson Tide. LSU’s offense is absolutely humming right now and they have jumped into 1st for YPG (563) and 1st for PPG (47) in the whole damn country. The problem however is on the defensive side of the ball, where they haven’t been able to stop anyone, especially on the road. The highflying offense is great but you’re gonna need some defense to stop this surging Bama team who is finding their footing at the right time of year. Bama’s CFP dreams aren’t dead yet and they need another W on Saturday night to keep those hopes alive. I think this game is going to be a dog fight and I see Bama pulling away in the 4th Q. In a big SEC matchup, give me the team with more DUDES on defense and in this matchup that is clearly Bama. Score Prediction: Alabama 36 – LSU 30.

DisclaimerSidehustlebetsMJQ.com is not an online gambling operator or a gambling site of any kind. Our insights about sports/sports betting are purely for entertainment purposes only.

Leave a comment