Another solid CFB showing out of SHB in Week 5, going 6-3 for +2.89 units moving our season total to 22-11-1 for +8.705 units. Not. Too. Shabby. Week 6 features quite a few value spots with a handful of major upsets possibilities. Let’s keep it rolling. Bet smarter, not harder.

Q’s Best Bets (After Week 5: 11-4, +6.145 units)

Kentucky @ Georgia – Saturday, 10/7 (7:00 PM EST)
Pick: 2 Leg Parlay: Kentucky +21.5/Total Points Over 41.5 (+120) (1 unit)

By far my favorite spot of the week. Kentucky enters Athens this week on a heater after completely dismantling Florida 33-14 last week and Georgia has yet to really get things going this season. The main market line for this game is currently floating around 14.5/15 which feels absurd given how well Kentucky’s defense is playing and how well they’re currently running the ball. Georgia’s run defense has been subpar compared to the last two seasons so I definitely expect Kentucky to find some success on the ground to keep this one close. Kentucky’s secondary hasn’t been terrible but it also hasn’t been great so I also expect Carson Beck and the Bulldogs to move the ball effectively through the air. Overall and think this one turns into a nail biter and the parlay total of 41.5 should be relatively easy to cover given these two offensive/defensive matchups. If you’re feeling frisky… Kentucky is the best team Georgia has faced all season and it feels like they’ve been trying to lose a game all season at this point. Small moneyline plays are definitely live in this one. Score Prediction: Georgia 26 – Kentucky 23.

Toledo @ U Mass – Saturday, 10/7 (12:00 PM EST)
Pick: Total Points Over 56.5 (-110) (1 unit)

Toledo should put up big points in this one but siding with the over here as 19.5 points is a lot to cover. Toledo enters this game with the 4th best rushing yards/game in the country compared to U Mass’s run defense currently allowing the 115th fewest rushing yards/game (very large disparity). Expect a big day out of Toledo RB Peny Boone who already has 515 rushing yards and 5 TDs on the season through 5 games. Toledo is currently averaging over 40 points per game and U Mass’s defense isn’t exactly “stingy”. That said, Toledo’s defensive unit is far from stellar as well and the U Mass pass attack should have a slight advantage over Toledo’s secondary. In conclusion, expect solid play out of U Mass’s offense playing at home after a rough loss to Arkansas State (in a game where U Mass allowed 52 points) and exceptional production out of a Toledo run game that’s humming right now. Side note, both teams have covered this total in all but one game each. Score Prediction: Toledo 41 – U Mass 23.

Georgia Tech @ Miami – Saturday, 10/7 (8:00 PM EST)
Pick: Total Points Over 56 (-112) (1 unit)

This total simply feels far too low, I’m projecting closer to 60-65. Miami should be able to pick their poison against a lowly Yellow Jackets defensive unit (Miami has a heavy advantage in the pass game vs Georgia Tech’s secondary) but people are seriously sleeping on Georgia Tech’s passing attack right now. Georgia Tech is currently ranked 16th in the country in passing yards/game (massive shift from their historical triple option heavy offense) compared to Miami’s rank of 90th in the country defending the pass. Miami has been dominant this year through 4 games but Georgia Tech will be one of its first real “tests” outside of an impressive Texas A&M beatdown back in September. Tech enters this game 2-3 but they played Louisville close and upset Wake Forest 30-16 in Week 4. Common theme here, both teams have been putting up points. These two teams are combining for over 76 points scored per game and they’re combining for over 43 points allowed per game (but this number is a bit skewed downward for Miami considering Bethune and Temple combined for 14 points in 2 weeks). This one has all the makings of a high scoring affair, Georgia Tech flying under the radar (and through the air) and Miami flexing its offensive muscles at home. Score Prediction: Miami 42 – Georgia Tech 23.

LSU @ Missouri – Saturday, 10/7 (12:00 PM EST)
Pick: Missouri +6 (-110) (1 unit)

This take is pretty simple. Missouri has one of the best defenses in the country on both sides of the ball, LSU should be playing uninspired after their season basically ended last week on the road and Missouri’s passing attack should pick this uninspiring LSU secondary apart at home. Missouri’s front seven should wreak havoc on Jayden Daniels all game and the Cook/Burden connection should be on full display all game in Columbia. I definitely don’t see Missouri remaining undefeated for long, but I also don’t have much faith in a downtrodden LSU squad to end their winning streak this week. This game should come down to the wire but I expect Mizzou to keep it within a field goal, if not win outright. Score Prediction: Missouri 34 – LSU 31.

DPJ’s Best Bets (After Week 5: 11-7-1, +2.56 units)

Oklahoma vs. Texas, Saturday, 10/7 (12:00 PM EST) Dallas, TX
Pick: Oklahoma +5.5 (-110) (1 unit)

It seems borderline unamerican to not have some action on the Red River Shootout, so here we are laying a unit on Sooners. Oklahoma has been sneaky good this year, they’re 5-0 and haven’t really beaten any good teams but their offense is humming, and their defense has been improving week-by-week. Maybe Brent Venables actually knows what he’s doing? We’ll find out soon. Texas won this game 49-0 last year so Oklahoma has all the motivation they need to come into Dallas looking for blood. To no surprise, the public is all over Texas (78% of bets), however the line has come down from +7 to +5.5. That’s the type of line movement we like to see heading into a big game. Boomer Sooner, horns down. Score Prediction: Oklahoma 38 – Texas 37.

Notre Dame @ Louisville, Saturday 10/7 (7:30 PM EST)
Pick: Louisville +6.5 (-110) (1 unit)

The Louisville Cardinals are lowkey putting up a hell of an unexpected season so far. They’re 5-0 and get the Irish at home in what could be a look ahead game for ND as they have USC next week. Louisville is moving the ball and scoring as well as any other team in the country and I think they’ll do enough in this one to keep it within one score. There are some definite question marks about their pass defense, but Sam Hartman hasn’t really lit anyone up besides Central Michigan in mid September. Duke held Hartman to an inefficient 15/30 with 222 passing yards and 0 TDs last week, which followed a pretty lousy performance against OSU, so things are unraveling a bit for the 24 year old 5th year senior (get a job, bro). Score Prediction: Louisville 24 – Notre Dame 27

Washington State @ UCLA, Saturday 10/7 (3:00 PM EST)
Pick: Washington State +3.5 (-108) (1 unit)

Before I dive into this one, let’s take a moment to appreciate how incredible the Pac12 has been this year. We are absolutely set up with a gauntlet of awesome games over the next seven weeks and it’s going to be a ton of fun. This one in particular should be a hell of a matchup. Washington State comes into Pasadena with one of the best passing attacks I’ve seen in recent memory. They’re putting up 546 total yards per game (407 in the air) and are moving the chains on 62% of third downs. It almost feels like the ghost of Mike Leach is calling plays from the booth. Cameron Ward should be a legit Heisman candidate as he’s completing a ridiculous 75% of his passes and has yet to throw a pick (to go along with all those passing yards). The Cougs have hung 31+ points on all of their opponents this year and I think they’ll keep the streak alive against the Bruins. UCLA will try to pound the rock as they’ve done all year and that will be where the game is won for Wazzu, if they can slow that rushing attack just a little bit I think the Bruins will have a hard time keeping this one close. Score Prediction: Washington State 31 – UCLA 30

Fresno State @ Wyoming, Saturday 10/7 (8:00 PM EST)
Pick: Wyoming +6.5 (-110) (1 unit)

I’m collectively 0-2 on the season when betting games with these two teams involved. Wyoming upset Texas Tech in week 1 when I was holding a Red Raiders ticket, and last week Fresno State played like ass and couldn’t breach 27 points against one of the worst defenses in CFB (Nevada). I’m ready to right my wrongs here, and were taking the Cowboys with the points at home in Laramie. Wyoming has sneaky one of the best uniform/stadium aesthetics in the country, as you get the brown and gold contrasting with the high plains and mountains in the backdrop, especially at sunset. Laramie also sits at 7,165 fee which is ~38% higher than “mile high city” Denver, CO so there is some serious elevation to deal with for the Bulldogs, who’s campus sits at just 308 feet about sea level. That’s enough geography facts for now, let’s get into the numbers. Fresno’s passing game is no joke as they’ve moved the football against every team they’ve played this year. They’re 21st in pass yards per game in the country, but they struggle mightily to run the ball (195th). Wyoming conversely can’t pass the ball at all but they will pound it down your throat to the tune of nearly 200 yards per game. Temperatures will slowly be dropping under 40 degrees as this game creeps into the night on Saturday and Wyoming will likely bring out the cold weather smash mouth football and take it to the Bulldogs. Score Prediction: Wyoming 23 – Fresno 21.

Oregon State @ California, Saturday 10/7 (10:00 PM EST)
Pick: Oregon State -7.5 (-110) (1 unit)

If you haven’t been keeping track, this is the only favorite I’m taking this week. I love the dogs so much in week 6 I even thought about putting out a six leg moneyline dog parlay. But that would be irresponsible, and as an incredibly responsible guy I can’t do that for our readers. Simply put for this game, Beavers = Good and Bears = Bad. Cal might be 3-2 but I’m pretty sure they actually stink, they’re a bottom 3 team in the Pac12 at best. After getting spanked by Washington they went on the road and barely beat ASU who are the actual worst team in the Pac12. They’re only strength is their running game, and guess what? Oregon State comes in with the 12th best run defense in the country giving up just 67 yards per game. Cal will have no room to operate between the hashes and that will force them to pass the ball, which they have proven to be incompetent at. The Bears will once again prove that they can’t hang with the best of the Pac12 and this one will likely be over before the 4th quarter starts. Score Prediction: Oregon State 30 – Cal 17. 

Kentucky +14.5 @ Georgia, Saturday 10/7 (7:00 PM EST)
Pick: Kentucky +14.5 (-110) (1 unit)

I took a chance on Georgia last week to prove that they’re capable of blowing out good teams, and boy was I wrong. UGA was lucky to come out of Auburn with a W as it took an all-hands-on deck late game comeback to win 27-20. Auburn was much friskier than I anticipated, and UGA just doesn’t seem to have the offensive firepower we are used to seeing the last few years. Their defense is still very good, but even that is not as great as previous teams. The Kentucky Wildcats defense is giving up less yards on the ground than UGA, wild! I don’t really think Kentucky has the resources to pull out a W in Athens, but I love holding the 14.5 points here. That half point in particular feels like it will be quite valuable. This should be a slow moving game, without a lot of splashy plays, which is par for the course for Georgia this year. UGA has yet to put 30 points on either of the two power 5 conference teams they’ve played this year. As an aside, it’s pretty whack that we are in October and the defending champs have played pretty much nobody. But that’s college football, I guess. Score Prediction: Kentucky 17 – UGA 23

Arizona @ USC, Saturday 10/7 (10:00 PM EST)
Pick: Arizona +21 (-110) (1 unit)

The Wildcats have been a cover machine all year (4-1 ATS) and I’m expecting that to continue on the road at USC this week. 21 is a large number for a porous USC defense to cover, and the back door will be wide open in the second half. Bear Down. Score Prediction: Arizona 34 – USC 48

Disclaimer: SidehustlebetsMJQ.com is not an online gambling operator or a gambling site of any kind. Our insights about sports/sports betting are purely for entertainment purposes only.