I won’t sugarcoat it… Week 3 regressed us back to the mean a bit. The teaser bug bit us both and Lamar decided not to show up in what was one of the worst bad beats of all time (Justin Tucker simply doesn’t miss game winning field goals… still stunned). Despite a brutal week, SHB is still 16-10 on the year for +4.775 units. Don’t call it a comeback. Always remember to bet smarter, not harder.

Q’s Best Bets (After Week 3: 10-4, +5.315 units)

Atlanta Falcons vs Jacksonville Jaguars/Minnesota Vikings @ Carolina Panthers
Pick: 2 Leg Parlay: Jaguars Moneyline/Vikings Moneyline (+155) (1 unit) & Calvin Ridley Receiving Yards Over 63.5 (-114) (0.7 units)/Calvin Ridley 100+ Receiving Yards (+350) (0.3 units)

Taking another parlay this week despite the bad beats from Week 3 (what’s the definition of insanity again?).

The Falcons really struggle to function on offense if they can’t get their run game going and Jacksonville currently allows the 7th fewest rushing yards to opponents per game (84 rushing yards/game). I have virtually zero faith in Desmond Ridder to lead his team to victory, Trevor Lawrence is due to turn things around and the Jaguars in general have a great track record playing across the pond. I also think Doug Pederson is a much better coach than Arthur Smith so I love backing the Jags to bounce back in this one bright and early on Sunday. Score Prediction: Jaguars 24 – Falcons 20.

Taking the no brainer revenge angle on Calvin Ridley facing his former team on Sunday. Ridley has seen at least 7 targets per game this season (averaging ~8.67 targets/game) and he eclipsed 100 receiving yards in Week 1. The Jags offense in general has stagnated and I expect them to bounce back in a big way in London on Sunday against an average Falcons secondary (no offense AJ Terrell). Splitting a unit between his currently line as well as an alternate 100+ receiving yards line. Have a day Calvin Ridley! Prop Prediction: 105 Receiving Yards.

As a Carolina Panthers fan, there’s simply no way we win this game. The Vikings are actually a better team on paper this year compared to last season and they’ve simply been unlucky to start 0-3. Bryce Young doesn’t appear to have settled into professional football yet (and he’ll likely be playing through an ankle injury), the Panthers defense is banged up after last week and Kirk Cousins doesn’t have to play this one in primetime (heavily mitigating his recurring choke factor under the big lights). Vikings get their first win of the season on Sunday. Score Prediction: Vikings 27 – Panthers 20.

New England Patriots @ Dallas Cowboys – Sunday, 10/1 (4:25 PM EST)
Pick: Cowboys -6.5 (-110) (1 unit)

We’re getting super solid value on Dallas here because of their shocking loss to Arizona last week. Don’t be fooled by last week’s dumpster fire of a performance… The Cowboys still have one of the best offenses in the league, they should get back a few major pieces of their offensive line this week and Mac Jones isn’t the guy to expose the issues in their secondary currently after losing Trevon Diggs for the season. Feels like people don’t realize the Cowboys were missing most of their OL starters last week, and it obviously shows. Grabbing this line now before it jumps over a TD. Cowboys bounce back in convincing fashion. Score Prediction: Cowboys 27 – Patriots 17.

Detroit Lions @ Green Bay Packers – Thursday, 9/28 (8:15 PM EST)
Pick: Jordan Love Rush Yards Over 16.5 (-110) (1 unit)

The Lions allowed the most rushing yards to opposing QBs in the league last season and not much has changed this year. Detroit currently allows ~22.67 QB rushing yards per game (Week 1 (Mahomes): 45 rush yards, Week 2 (Geno Smith): 20 rush yards, Week 3 (Ridder): 3 rush yards). While that number is obviously trending downwards, I feel like Ridder is skewing the data a bit (since he’s awful, to be clear). On the flip side, Jordan Love’s legs have come to life over the past two weeks. Love put up 12 rushing yards in Week 1 vs the Bears (still getting his sea legs), 23 rushing yards in Week 2 vs the Falcons and 39 rushing yards last week against the Saints (a solid defense). Detroit runs quite a bit of man coverage and I expect this game to be close. Don’t be surprised to see Love rely on his legs once again in a tight battle at home tonight. Prop Prediction: 23.5 Rushing Yards.

Miami Dolphins @ Buffalo Bills – Sunday, 10/1 (1:00 PM EST)
Pick: Josh Allen 50+ Rushing Yards (+215) (0.5 units)

Playing with fire with multiple prop bets this week but I simply can’t resist here. The Bills save Josh Allen’s legs for big games, he really hasn’t ran the ball at all so far this season and this matchup should bring the fireworks. I truly don’t know which way I’m leaning in this game as far as the spread but I’m very confident Josh Allen will be on the move early and often. Allen posted 50+ rushing yard games 6 different times in 2022 and 5/6 of those games were decided by 3 points. This week’s matchup against Miami’s high octane offense should make for a nail biter so expect Buffalo to rely on Josh Allen’s running ability throughout the game. Prop Prediction: 75 Rush Yards.

DPJ’s Best Bets (After Week 3: 6-6, -0.54 units)

Apologies to our valued readers and subscribers, time got away from me this week so I will not have any write ups with my picks. Looking forward to a 5-0 week here, ride accordingly.

Vikings -4 @ Panthers (1 unit) (-110)

Broncos -3.5 @ Bears (1 unit) (-105)

Raiders @ Chargers over 48.5 (1 unit) (-110)

Ravens @ Browns under 39.5 (1 unit) (-110)

Buccaneers +3.5 @ Saints (1 unit) (-110)

Disclaimer: SidehustlebetsMJQ.com is not an online gambling operator or a gambling site of any kind. Our insights about sports/sports betting are purely for entertainment purposes only.