And just like that… the boys hit their stride again for college football after going for a combined 7-2 for +3.81 units. That moves our overall record to 16-8-1 for +5.815 units on the season. Sharp action. This week’s slate of games is slightly less electric than Week 4 but should make for a few solid matchups. The money train doesn’t stop rolling… bet smarter, not harder.
Q’s Best Bets (After Week 4: 8-4, +2.985 units)
Utah @ Oregon State – Friday, 9/29 (9:00 PM EST)
Pick: Total Points Under 45.5 (-110) (1 unit)
This line’s already moved down from the opening line of 47.5 and they’re predicting poor weather tomorrow so grabbing it at 45.5 before it dips below the magic number of 45. Pretty simple take here. Two teams that rely heavily on their run games facing off against extremely solid run defenses. Utah currently allows the 3rd fewest rushing yards/game in the country and the Beavers currently allow the 12th fewest rushing yards/game. Neither team has a great passing attack at the moment and it’s still unclear as to when Utah QB Cam Rising will finally return from last year’s ACL injury. Utah’s secondary should be able to keep DJ Uiagalelei in check for most of the game and I’m expecting a better showing from an Oregon State defensive unit that has produced 7 forced fumbles this season. Expect a slow paced slugfest that should almost definitely be impeded by gross weather Friday night. Score Prediction: Utah 23 – Oregon State 20.
Florida @ Kentucky – Saturday, 9/30 (12:00 PM EST)
Pick: Kentucky -1 (+100) (1 unit)
People are sleeping on Kentucky since they haven’t really played anyone this year yet but that would be a mistake. Kentucky is currently #1 in the country in explosive plays (compared to Florida’s rank of #121 in the same category). These teams would be about even on a neutral field (in my opinion, clearly not Vegas’ opinion) so I love backing the Wildcats at home in what should be their first victory over a ranked opponent this season. Both of these defenses are solid so this one should come down to QB play. When it comes to these two QBs… Devin Leary is superior to Graham Mertz. We saw it with Mertz in Wisconsin last season and we’re seeing it again with Mertz at Florida this season… The guy’s simply a game manager who doesn’t appear capable of taking a game over when called upon. Florida has been forced to rely on its run game for most of the season due to Mertz’s inability to stretch the ball downfield. Leary, on the other hand, appears to be picking up where he left off at NC State last year before his season ending injury. Give me Leary, give me a lackluster Graham Mertz, give me Kentucky at home. Score Prediction: Kentucky 23 – Florida 20.
Notre Dame @ Duke/San Diego State @ Air Force
Pick: 2 Leg Parlay: Notre Dame Moneyline/Air Force -6.5 (+125) (1 unit)
You know I had to add at least one parlay given our hot streak at the moment…
Yes, there is a slight hangover risk for Notre Dame this week after a soul crushing loss to Ohio State last week on the last play of the game. The Fighting Irish literally and metaphorically dropped the ball (potential game winning interception practically hit a Notre Dame player in the face and they played with only 10 men on the field for the last two plays). That said, Sam Hartman and this Notre Dame team outplayed the Buckeyes for all 4 quarters and definitely felt like the better squad. Hartman was able to go toe to toe with Ohio State’s lock down defense and Notre Dame’s secondary tamed the two headed snake that is Egbuka/Harrison Jr. Now they face a Duke squad that’s caught quite a bit of shine after beating a (now) 2 loss Clemson team 28-7 in Week 1 and haven’t faced a remotely decent opponent since. I’m backing off the spread here to be safe but I simply don’t see this Notre Dame team dropping two straight against a Duke team that has experienced its first glimmer of respect for the first time in decades over the past two years. Score Prediction: Notre Dame 31 – Duke 20.
News flash, Air Force is actually pretty good. And when I say pretty good, I mean they’re currently the #1 team in the country in rushing yards/game (329.3). Where does their opponent rank in defending the run, you might ask? SDSU currently allows 197 rushing yards/game to opposing offenses landing them at #112 in the country for the category… The Aztecs’ passing offense is slightly better than its run game (ranked 80th in passing yards/game vs ranked 96th in rushing yards/game) but that really shouldn’t matter much against an Air Force defensive unit that’s currently ranked 6th in the country at defending the run and 19th in the country at defending the pass. Sure, Air Force hasn’t played many talented teams… but San Diego State isn’t a talented team! Not only should Air Force blow this SDSU team out on virtually any venue, they catch them at home on Saturday. Backing the Fighting Falcons to easily cover a TD on their home base. Score Prediction: Air Force 31 – San Diego State 17.
DPJ’s Best Bets (After Week 4: 8-4-1, +2.83 units)
Apologies to our valued readers and subscribers, time got away from me this week so I will not have any write ups with my picks. Looking forward to a 6-0 week here, ride accordingly.
Penn State -26.5 @ Northwestern (1 unit) (-110)
Nevada @ Fresno State -24.5 (1 unit) (-110)
San Diego State @ Air Force -10.5 (1 unit) (-110)
Louisiana +11.5 @ Minnesota (1 unit) (-110)
Georgia -14.5 @ Auburn (1 unit) (-110)
Indiana @ Maryland under 50.5 (1 unit) (-110)
Disclaimer: SidehustlebetsMJQ.com is not an online gambling operator or a gambling site of any kind. Our insights about sports/sports betting are purely for entertainment purposes only.
