Talk about a HEATER… After a 8-1 showing for +6.29 units out of your SHB boys in Week 2 (DPJ: 3-1, Q: 5-0) our current NFL record moves to 13-4 for +7.995 units on the season. This week’s slate involves some massive lines so expert teasers/alternate lines galore. The money train has officially left the station. Always remember to bet smarter, not harder.
Q’s Best Bets (After Week 2: 8-1, +6.445 units)
New York Giants @ San Francisco 49ers – Thursday, 9/21 (8:15 PM EST)
Pick: Nick Bosa Over 0.75 Sacks (-105) (1 unit)
Late addition prop bet that I simply can’t resist tonight. The Giants offensive line is in shambles at the moment, they’re missing Saquon Barkley so Daniel Jones will be forced to drop back quite a bit tonight and Nick Bosa is SO due for a sack (no recorded sacks yet this season). Jones has already been sacked 10 times this season and he’s had one of the highest pass rush rates in the league (teams are getting after him). We’re talking about a player who had 18.5 sacks last season and won Defensive Player of the Year… Expect some positive regression towards the mean for Bosa tonight playing at home against an offense that’s making pass rushers salivate this year. Prop Prediction: 1.5 Sacks.
Dallas Cowboys @ Arizona Cardinals/Chicago Bears @ Kansas City Chiefs
Pick: 2 Leg Parlay: Cowboys -6.5/Chiefs -6.5 (-101) (1 unit)
Very straightforward parlay here. Both of these teams are currently floating around -12 for their main spreads but I feel a lot more comfortable moving their lines within a TD. The Cowboys are on fire right now and I see no reason why their hot streak ends in Arizona of all places. The Cardinals will be outmatched in every facet of this game and I have zero faith in Josh Dobbs to keep this one close. Dallas’ offensive line should absolutely impose its will all game and there’s a chance Brandin Cooks returns to add to an already explosive offensive unit. Expect the Cowboys to move to 3-0 in convincing fashion this weekend. Score Prediction: Cowboys 30 – Cardinals 16.
I’ll take my chances on Mahomes covering a TD spread against arguably the worst defense in professional football any day of the week. Add to the fact that this game’s being played in Arrowhead after a lackluster showing from the Chiefs in Week 2 and you get the makings of a blowout. As long as Mahomes has Travis Kelce at his disposal then this offense should be just fine. Justin Fields looks lost out there currently which renders the DJ Moore trade virtually worthless at the moment. The Chiefs defense should remain serviceable now that Chris Jones’ future as a Chief is clear and realistically Justin Fields can’t find WRs even if they’re open. Chiefs by a landslide. Score Prediction: Chiefs 31 – Bears 17.
Indianapolis Colts @ Baltimore Ravens/Buffalo Bills @ Washington Commanders
Pick: 2 Leg Parlay: Ravens -2.5/Bills -2.5 (-107) (1 unit) & Lamar Jackson Passing Yards Over 211.5 (-115) (1 unit)
Backing the Ravens at home vs a potentially Anthony Richardson-less Colts squad. Indy is still struggling to keep their heads above water without Jonathan Taylor so if they lose Richardson this week due to his concussion then that should be a wrap against a surging Ravens team playing at home. The Colts love to run the ball but there’s a great chance they run into a brick wall against Baltimore’s stout defensive line. There’s also a chance that some of the pieces on Indy’s offensive line could miss some time so I have a hard time seeing how they’ll move the ball on Sunday. Ravens keep surging. Score Prediction: Ravens 27 – Colts 17.
The Colts currently allow 287 passing yards per game to opposing offenses (4th worst in the league) and two of their starting cornerbacks are banged up (Kenny Moore II and Dallis Flowers are questionable to even play on Sunday). The weather forecast isn’t great in Baltimore on Sunday but I still think Lamar sails over this number with ease. Indy’s run defense is the polar opposite of it’s secondary… allowing only 78.5 yards per game to opposing offenses so far this season (7th best in the league). Baltimore doesn’t have a choice but to scheme against this sub par Colts secondary and if Minshew brings the magic this weekend and keeps it relatively close for most the game then expect to see Lamar slinging it. Passing Yards Prediction: 234 Passing Yards.
Josh Allen absolutely steam rolls bad teams and I definitely wouldn’t categorize Washington as a “good” team. These are exactly the kind of games that Allen uses to pad his stats (especially after a terrible performance in their loss to a Zach Wilson led Jets team in Week 1). The Bills defense is also out for blood right now after a disappointing season last year marred by injuries and misfortune. Sam Howell has actually played a lot better than I expected up to this point and he is catching the Bills at home so I’m more comfortable moving this line to -2.5 just to be safe. Washington’s defense should put up a solid effort but I’m expecting the Bills to control this game and win by at least a TD. Score Prediction: Bills 27 – Commanders 20.
New England Patriots @ NY Jets – Sunday, 9/24 (1:00 PM EST)
Pick: Total Points Under 37 (-109) (1 unit)
Not sure if I really need to explain much here. Both teams lack offense and depend entirely on their elite defenses. Belichick will undoubtedly have Zach Wilson seeing ghosts out there and Mac Jones will continue to struggle to move the ball given his lack of WR options and surprisingly poor run game up to this point. More comfortable banking on a low scoring snooze fest in this one and backing the under vs picking a side. As long as we don’t see multiple defensive scores on Sunday then 37 points feels high. Score Prediction: Patriots 20 – Jets 13.
DPJ’s Best Bets (After Week 2: 5-3, +1.55 units)
Buffalo Bills @ Washington Commanders – Sunday, 9/24 (1:00 PM EST)
Pick: Commanders +6.5 (-110) (1 unit)
The Bills head to FedEx field to take on the undefeated Commanders on Sunday which will be Washington’s first real test of the season. Sam Howell and Co. have weaseled away two victories over the lowly Cardinals and Broncos in weeks 1 and 2. This Bills team is much different, after getting embarrassed in MetLife in week 1 (RIP Aaron Rodgers) they went home to Buffalo and beat the Raiders like a drum. However, there’s something about this Commanders team that makes me think they’re gonna hang in this game and potentially even win. Eric Bieniemy has their offense looking rejuvenated and he’s doing his best to remove Ron Rivera from any big offensive coaching decisions. Even better, there is a tropical storm rolling through the eastern seaboard this weekend so that will hopefully slop things up a bit and keep the scoring down on both sides. Left hand up, let’s go Manders. Score Prediction: Bills 24 – Commanders 23.
LA Chargers @ Minnesota Vikings – Sunday, 9/24 (1:00 PM EST)
Pick: Total Points Under 54 (-110) (1 unit)
This one is very simple, I’m taking the same approach as last week with my two over/under plays. The public is absolutely hammering the over in this one (75% of bets), the line has crept all the way up to 54, so I have no choice but to fade all these bozos and take the under. The Chargers have been getting crushed all week for how bad their defense has looked which has put Brandon Staley’s butt squarely on the hot seat. He’s coaching for his job right now (both literally and figuratively) and his answer will have to be on the defensive side of the ball. The Vikings pass defense has been surprisingly formidable this year as Brian Flores is whipping them into shape. They’ve allowed just 170 pass yards per game (8th best in the NFL) and that came against two teams that are now 2-0 in the Eagles and the Bucs. I think this game looks a little uglier and lower scoring than some may expect. Score Prediction: Chargers 26 – Vikings 24.
Philadelphia Eagles @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers – Monday, 9/25 (7:15 PM EST)
Pick: Buccaneers +5 (-110) (1 unit)
I might be the biggest sucker on earth betting on both the 2-0 Commanders and the 2-0 Bucs, but I simply can’t resist. This is by no stretch an indictment of the Eagles, or the Bills in the previous post, but I have loved the way Baker Mayfield looks in this offense through these first two weeks. He’s making the smart plays, not doing too much, and relying on future Hall of Famer Mike Evans to destroy opposing defenses. Baker and the Bucs should be able to manage this game enough to stay within the 5 points. Yes, the Eagles are a better team and will likely be playing late into January, but they haven’t looked truly dominant yet. Tampa’s defense has a full week to prepare for D’Andre Swift and I don’t think he will go nearly as crazy as he did on TNF against the Vikings last week. I like the under in this one and (obviously) the Bucs. Score Prediction: Eagles 23 – Bucs 20.
Dallas Cowboys @ Arizona Cardinals/LA Rams @ Cincinnati Bengals
Pick: 2 Leg Parlay: Cowboys -6.5/Rams +9 (-110) (1 unit)
I’m dipping my toe into the teaser waters for the first time this year with a little NFC 6 point teaser. The Rams are headed to Cincy for a MNF matchup with the Bengals, and the Cowboys are on the road in Glendale, AZ to take on the Cardinals.
We’ll start with the Rams, who have looked shockingly good this year to the surprise of many experts and even Rams fans like myself. There were big doubts about how this OL would protect Stafford, what the passing attack would look like without Kupp, and how the defense would hold up with so many rookies. After playing a very good offense in week 1 (Seattle) and one of the best teams in the league in week 2 (San Francisco) the Rams come in with the 3rd ranked offense and 7th ranked defense in terms of total yards gained and yards allowed. The Bengals on the other hand could not have started the season looking any worse, and they are limping into this game with a hobbled Joe Burrow. Joey B may not even suit up on Monday which makes this even more enticing. But even if he does play, I love the Rams to keep this one inside of 9 points and win outright. Score Prediction: Rams 30 – Bengals 23.
The Cowboys have looked incredibly dominant through two weeks of the year as they had the pleasure of opening with the Giants and Jets. And now they get another horrible team on the road at the Cardinals on Sunday afternoon. Sadly, the Cowboys lost Trevon Diggs to an ACL injury in practice this week but I don’t think that will matter much in this one. Micah Parsons will have Josh Dobbs in hell all game and I will be surprised if the Cardinals even crack double digits. Dak will once again have to do next to nothing to win this game, and if the Cowboys don’t cover this 6.5 points they are absolutely dead to me. Score Prediction: Cowboys 33 – Cardinals 9.
Disclaimer: SidehustlebetsMJQ.com is not an online gambling operator or a gambling site of any kind. Our insights about sports/sports betting are purely for entertainment purposes only.
